India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 37°C in Lucknow on May 3, 2026, with thunderstorms and rain likely, driving trader consensus toward moderate outcomes like 37–38°C at around 35% implied probability each. This cooling from recent highs—39.9°C on April 30 and a projected 41°C on May 1—stems from increased cloud cover and convective activity suppressing solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling during the pre-monsoon transition. The 50% market-implied odds for 34°C or below reflect uncertainty in rainfall intensity, as heavier precipitation could cap peaks lower, while clearer conditions might push toward 39–41°C (35% each). IMD's next local bulletin on May 2 will provide updated model guidance amid inherent short-term forecast variability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 3?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 3?
34°C or below 45%
35°C 24%
36°C 19%
37°C 16%
NEW
NEW
May 3, 2026
34°C or below
45%
35°C
24%
36°C
19%
37°C
16%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
34°C or below 45%
35°C 24%
36°C 19%
37°C 16%
NEW
NEW
May 3, 2026
34°C or below
$310 Vol.
45%
35°C
$254 Vol.
24%
36°C
$228 Vol.
19%
37°C
$317 Vol.
16%
38°C
$419 Vol.
2%
39°C
$453 Vol.
1%
40°C
$154 Vol.
1%
41°C
$281 Vol.
1%
42°C
$281 Vol.
1%
43°C
$172 Vol.
<1%
44°C or higher
$558 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 37°C in Lucknow on May 3, 2026, with thunderstorms and rain likely, driving trader consensus toward moderate outcomes like 37–38°C at around 35% implied probability each. This cooling from recent highs—39.9°C on April 30 and a projected 41°C on May 1—stems from increased cloud cover and convective activity suppressing solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling during the pre-monsoon transition. The 50% market-implied odds for 34°C or below reflect uncertainty in rainfall intensity, as heavier precipitation could cap peaks lower, while clearer conditions might push toward 39–41°C (35% each). IMD's next local bulletin on May 2 will provide updated model guidance amid inherent short-term forecast variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 1, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$3,403End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 37°C in Lucknow on May 3, 2026, with thunderstorms and rain likely, driving trader consensus toward moderate outcomes like 37–38°C at around 35% implied probability each. This cooling from recent highs—39.9°C on April 30 and a projected 41°C on May 1—stems from increased cloud cover and convective activity suppressing solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling during the pre-monsoon transition. The 50% market-implied odds for 34°C or below reflect uncertainty in rainfall intensity, as heavier precipitation could cap peaks lower, while clearer conditions might push toward 39–41°C (35% each). IMD's next local bulletin on May 2 will provide updated model guidance amid inherent short-term forecast variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,403End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 37°C in Lucknow on May 3, 2026, with thunderstorms and rain likely, driving trader consensus toward moderate outcomes like 37–38°C at around 35% implied probability each. This cooling from recent highs—39.9°C on April 30 and a projected 41°C on May 1—stems from increased cloud cover and convective activity suppressing solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling during the pre-monsoon transition. The 50% market-implied odds for 34°C or below reflect uncertainty in rainfall intensity, as heavier precipitation could cap peaks lower, while clearer conditions might push toward 39–41°C (35% each). IMD's next local bulletin on May 2 will provide updated model guidance amid inherent short-term forecast variability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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