Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models place Karachi’s June 15 maximum near the long-term June average of 34–36 °C, with sea-breeze circulation and increasing cloud cover expected to cap daytime heating. Traders appear to weigh the moderating influence of the Arabian Sea breeze against residual heat from the early-June heatwave, producing closely matched implied probabilities for 34 °C and 35 °C. Afternoon wind shifts and humidity levels remain key variables that could nudge the observed high across the narrow threshold between these outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations in the final hours before peak heating will likely refine the market’s assessment of these coastal thermodynamic factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on June 15?
Highest temperature in Karachi on June 15?
34°C 40%
35°C 38%
33°C 18%
36°C 9%
NEW
$15,463 Vol.
NEW
$15,463 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
18%
34°C
40%
35°C
38%
36°C
9%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 40%
35°C 38%
33°C 18%
36°C 9%
NEW
$15,463 Vol.
NEW
$15,463 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
29°C or below
$502 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,174 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$504 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,408 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,318 Vol.
18%
34°C
$720 Vol.
40%
35°C
$412 Vol.
38%
36°C
$1,243 Vol.
9%
37°C
$1,731 Vol.
1%
38°C
$3,703 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$1,879 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models place Karachi’s June 15 maximum near the long-term June average of 34–36 °C, with sea-breeze circulation and increasing cloud cover expected to cap daytime heating. Traders appear to weigh the moderating influence of the Arabian Sea breeze against residual heat from the early-June heatwave, producing closely matched implied probabilities for 34 °C and 35 °C. Afternoon wind shifts and humidity levels remain key variables that could nudge the observed high across the narrow threshold between these outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations in the final hours before peak heating will likely refine the market’s assessment of these coastal thermodynamic factors.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$15,463End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models place Karachi’s June 15 maximum near the long-term June average of 34–36 °C, with sea-breeze circulation and increasing cloud cover expected to cap daytime heating. Traders appear to weigh the moderating influence of the Arabian Sea breeze against residual heat from the early-June heatwave, producing closely matched implied probabilities for 34 °C and 35 °C. Afternoon wind shifts and humidity levels remain key variables that could nudge the observed high across the narrow threshold between these outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations in the final hours before peak heating will likely refine the market’s assessment of these coastal thermodynamic factors.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,463End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models place Karachi’s June 15 maximum near the long-term June average of 34–36 °C, with sea-breeze circulation and increasing cloud cover expected to cap daytime heating. Traders appear to weigh the moderating influence of the Arabian Sea breeze against residual heat from the early-June heatwave, producing closely matched implied probabilities for 34 °C and 35 °C. Afternoon wind shifts and humidity levels remain key variables that could nudge the observed high across the narrow threshold between these outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations in the final hours before peak heating will likely refine the market’s assessment of these coastal thermodynamic factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions