Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on June 5 point to a daily high near 84°F amid scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover, aligning closely with the market's leading 84-85°F outcome at 50.5% implied probability. This reflects suppressed temperatures relative to the 91°F climatological normal for the date, driven by ongoing moisture and convective activity that limits afternoon heating. Model guidance shows limited warming potential given persistent southerly flow and shower chances, keeping 86-87°F and 82-83°F bins as secondary contenders. Traders are weighting official observations from stations like William P. Hobby Airport, where storm timing and intensity will determine the final peak reading. Updated NWS briefings this afternoon represent the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Houston on June 5?
Highest temperature in Houston on June 5?
84-85°F 52%
86-87°F 22%
82-83°F 22%
88-89°F 4.5%
NUEVO
$14,274 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,274 Vol.
5 jun 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
52%
86-87°F
22%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 52%
86-87°F 22%
82-83°F 22%
88-89°F 4.5%
NUEVO
$14,274 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,274 Vol.
5 jun 2026
73°F or below
$528 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,747 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,079 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$264 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,617 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$1,001 Vol.
22%
84-85°F
$1,442 Vol.
52%
86-87°F
$1,796 Vol.
22%
88-89°F
$1,995 Vol.
4%
90-91°F
$933 Vol.
1%
92°F or higher
$894 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on June 5 point to a daily high near 84°F amid scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover, aligning closely with the market's leading 84-85°F outcome at 50.5% implied probability. This reflects suppressed temperatures relative to the 91°F climatological normal for the date, driven by ongoing moisture and convective activity that limits afternoon heating. Model guidance shows limited warming potential given persistent southerly flow and shower chances, keeping 86-87°F and 82-83°F bins as secondary contenders. Traders are weighting official observations from stations like William P. Hobby Airport, where storm timing and intensity will determine the final peak reading. Updated NWS briefings this afternoon represent the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 3, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Volumen
$14,274Fecha de finalización
5 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:24 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on June 5 point to a daily high near 84°F amid scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover, aligning closely with the market's leading 84-85°F outcome at 50.5% implied probability. This reflects suppressed temperatures relative to the 91°F climatological normal for the date, driven by ongoing moisture and convective activity that limits afternoon heating. Model guidance shows limited warming potential given persistent southerly flow and shower chances, keeping 86-87°F and 82-83°F bins as secondary contenders. Traders are weighting official observations from stations like William P. Hobby Airport, where storm timing and intensity will determine the final peak reading. Updated NWS briefings this afternoon represent the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$14,274Fecha de finalización
5 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:24 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on June 5 point to a daily high near 84°F amid scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover, aligning closely with the market's leading 84-85°F outcome at 50.5% implied probability. This reflects suppressed temperatures relative to the 91°F climatological normal for the date, driven by ongoing moisture and convective activity that limits afternoon heating. Model guidance shows limited warming potential given persistent southerly flow and shower chances, keeping 86-87°F and 82-83°F bins as secondary contenders. Traders are weighting official observations from stations like William P. Hobby Airport, where storm timing and intensity will determine the final peak reading. Updated NWS briefings this afternoon represent the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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