Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) indicate Chongqing's May 3 highest temperature clustering around 23-25°C under partly cloudy skies with southwesterly winds and low precipitation risk, explaining the tight trader consensus with 19-22.5% implied probabilities for 22-26°C outcomes. Recent developments include a dip to 21°C max on May 2 amid thick cloud cover and light showers from a lingering trough—cooler than May 1's 25°C—highlighting the basin's humidity-trapping dynamics that suppress peaks via temperature inversions. Differentiating factors are cloud opacity (thinner high clouds favor 25-26°C, denser lows cap at 22-23°C) and afternoon heating potential; updated model runs later today and official observations through May 2 could shift sentiment ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 3?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 3?
25°C 25%
24°C 24%
23°C 21%
26°C 11%
NEW
NEW
May 3, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
10%
23°C
21%
24°C
24%
25°C
25%
26°C
11%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
25°C 25%
24°C 24%
23°C 21%
26°C 11%
NEW
NEW
May 3, 2026
20°C or below
$197 Vol.
1%
21°C
$232 Vol.
3%
22°C
$26 Vol.
10%
23°C
$57 Vol.
21%
24°C
$178 Vol.
24%
25°C
$118 Vol.
25%
26°C
$126 Vol.
11%
27°C
$34 Vol.
5%
28°C
$194 Vol.
1%
29°C
$10 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$45 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) indicate Chongqing's May 3 highest temperature clustering around 23-25°C under partly cloudy skies with southwesterly winds and low precipitation risk, explaining the tight trader consensus with 19-22.5% implied probabilities for 22-26°C outcomes. Recent developments include a dip to 21°C max on May 2 amid thick cloud cover and light showers from a lingering trough—cooler than May 1's 25°C—highlighting the basin's humidity-trapping dynamics that suppress peaks via temperature inversions. Differentiating factors are cloud opacity (thinner high clouds favor 25-26°C, denser lows cap at 22-23°C) and afternoon heating potential; updated model runs later today and official observations through May 2 could shift sentiment ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$1,217End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) indicate Chongqing's May 3 highest temperature clustering around 23-25°C under partly cloudy skies with southwesterly winds and low precipitation risk, explaining the tight trader consensus with 19-22.5% implied probabilities for 22-26°C outcomes. Recent developments include a dip to 21°C max on May 2 amid thick cloud cover and light showers from a lingering trough—cooler than May 1's 25°C—highlighting the basin's humidity-trapping dynamics that suppress peaks via temperature inversions. Differentiating factors are cloud opacity (thinner high clouds favor 25-26°C, denser lows cap at 22-23°C) and afternoon heating potential; updated model runs later today and official observations through May 2 could shift sentiment ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,217End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) indicate Chongqing's May 3 highest temperature clustering around 23-25°C under partly cloudy skies with southwesterly winds and low precipitation risk, explaining the tight trader consensus with 19-22.5% implied probabilities for 22-26°C outcomes. Recent developments include a dip to 21°C max on May 2 amid thick cloud cover and light showers from a lingering trough—cooler than May 1's 25°C—highlighting the basin's humidity-trapping dynamics that suppress peaks via temperature inversions. Differentiating factors are cloud opacity (thinner high clouds favor 25-26°C, denser lows cap at 22-23°C) and afternoon heating potential; updated model runs later today and official observations through May 2 could shift sentiment ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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