Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the 640-650 billion range at 78% implied probability for Elon Musk's net worth on April 30, 2026, per the Bloomberg Billionaires Index—the market's resolution source—currently pegged at $645 billion as of April 29's close. This positioning stems from Tesla shares stabilizing around $375 after a minor $2.3 billion daily dip, buoyed by year-to-date gains of $25 billion amid steady EV demand and autonomous driving buzz, alongside the February SpaceX-xAI merger valuing Musk's 44% stake in the combined $1.03 trillion entity. Recent SpaceX IPO filings targeting $1.75 trillion have sustained private asset momentum, though traders anticipate limited end-of-day volatility barring after-hours surprises in Tesla or broader tech sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated640-650b 83%
650-660b 18%
630-640b 9.4%
660-670b 3.5%
$105,128 Vol.
$105,128 Vol.
<600b
<1%
600-610b
<1%
610-620b
1%
620-630b
3%
630-640b
9%
640-650b
82%
650-660b
18%
660-670b
3%
670b+
1%
640-650b 83%
650-660b 18%
630-640b 9.4%
660-670b 3.5%
$105,128 Vol.
$105,128 Vol.
<600b
<1%
600-610b
<1%
610-620b
1%
620-630b
3%
630-640b
9%
640-650b
82%
650-660b
18%
660-670b
3%
670b+
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for April 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Market Opened: Mar 30, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for April 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the 640-650 billion range at 78% implied probability for Elon Musk's net worth on April 30, 2026, per the Bloomberg Billionaires Index—the market's resolution source—currently pegged at $645 billion as of April 29's close. This positioning stems from Tesla shares stabilizing around $375 after a minor $2.3 billion daily dip, buoyed by year-to-date gains of $25 billion amid steady EV demand and autonomous driving buzz, alongside the February SpaceX-xAI merger valuing Musk's 44% stake in the combined $1.03 trillion entity. Recent SpaceX IPO filings targeting $1.75 trillion have sustained private asset momentum, though traders anticipate limited end-of-day volatility barring after-hours surprises in Tesla or broader tech sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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