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icon for Apple Q2 iPhone revenue above ___?
Finance·Apple

Apple Q2 iPhone revenue above ___?

icon for Apple Q2 iPhone revenue above ___?
Finance·Apple

Apple Q2 iPhone revenue above ___?

$159 Vol.

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$159 Vol.

Polymarket

$56 billion

$105 Vol.

56%

$58 billion

$18 Vol.

70%

$60 billion

$36 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple's iPhone revenue (net sales) for the second fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Apple's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. iPhone revenue is defined as the net sales figure reported under Apple's "iPhone" product category in its condensed consolidated statements of operations. Only this figure will be considered; alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies strong confidence in Apple's fiscal Q2 2026 iPhone revenue exceeding $56 billion at 56% and $58 billion at 70%, driven by robust iPhone 17 shipments amid a 20-23% surge in China that boosted Apple's market share to nearly 20% despite Huawei's lead. This follows Q1's 23% year-over-year iPhone revenue growth to $85.3 billion and upbeat guidance for 13-16% overall revenue expansion, fueled by AI-enhanced features and premium model demand outpacing a sluggish global smartphone market. The key catalyst is today's after-market earnings release and 5 p.m. ET conference call, where detailed China metrics, supply chain updates, and FY2026 outlook under incoming CEO transition could shift sentiment, with analysts forecasting $56.5-56.7 billion.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple's iPhone revenue (net sales) for the second fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is Apple's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. iPhone revenue is defined as the net sales figure reported under Apple's "iPhone" product category in its condensed consolidated statements of operations. Only this figure will be considered; alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.
Volume
$159
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 5:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple's iPhone revenue (net sales) for the second fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Apple's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. iPhone revenue is defined as the net sales figure reported under Apple's "iPhone" product category in its condensed consolidated statements of operations. Only this figure will be considered; alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple's iPhone revenue (net sales) for the second fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Apple's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. iPhone revenue is defined as the net sales figure reported under Apple's "iPhone" product category in its condensed consolidated statements of operations. Only this figure will be considered; alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies strong confidence in Apple's fiscal Q2 2026 iPhone revenue exceeding $56 billion at 56% and $58 billion at 70%, driven by robust iPhone 17 shipments amid a 20-23% surge in China that boosted Apple's market share to nearly 20% despite Huawei's lead. This follows Q1's 23% year-over-year iPhone revenue growth to $85.3 billion and upbeat guidance for 13-16% overall revenue expansion, fueled by AI-enhanced features and premium model demand outpacing a sluggish global smartphone market. The key catalyst is today's after-market earnings release and 5 p.m. ET conference call, where detailed China metrics, supply chain updates, and FY2026 outlook under incoming CEO transition could shift sentiment, with analysts forecasting $56.5-56.7 billion.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple's iPhone revenue (net sales) for the second fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is Apple's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. iPhone revenue is defined as the net sales figure reported under Apple's "iPhone" product category in its condensed consolidated statements of operations. Only this figure will be considered; alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.
Volume
$159
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 5:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple's iPhone revenue (net sales) for the second fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Apple's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. iPhone revenue is defined as the net sales figure reported under Apple's "iPhone" product category in its condensed consolidated statements of operations. Only this figure will be considered; alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Apple Q2 iPhone revenue above ___?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$58 billion" at 70%, followed by "$56 billion" at 56%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 70¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Apple Q2 iPhone revenue above ___?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Apple Q2 iPhone revenue above ___?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Apple Q2 iPhone revenue above ___?" is "$58 billion" at 70%, meaning the market assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$56 billion" at 56%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Apple Q2 iPhone revenue above ___?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.