Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors the 640-650 billion range at 82% implied probability for Elon Musk's net worth per the Bloomberg Billionaires Index close on April 30, driven by the index's April 29 reading of $645 billion after a minor $2.3 billion dip linked to Tesla's 0.86% stock decline to $372.80 amid stable EV demand and robotaxi hype. SpaceX's early-April confidential IPO filing, eyeing $1.75 trillion-plus valuation post-xAI merger, fuels cultural buzz around Musk's empire but Bloomberg's conservative private holdings estimate tempers immediate gains. With no major catalysts in the last 48 hours, traders anticipate continuity barring late-day Tesla volatility or announcements before the nightly update.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated640-650b 78%
650-660b 15%
630-640b 5.5%
660-670b 3.6%
$102,917 Vol.
$102,917 Vol.
<600b
<1%
600-610b
<1%
610-620b
1%
620-630b
3%
630-640b
9%
640-650b
78%
650-660b
15%
660-670b
4%
670b+
2%
640-650b 78%
650-660b 15%
630-640b 5.5%
660-670b 3.6%
$102,917 Vol.
$102,917 Vol.
<600b
<1%
600-610b
<1%
610-620b
1%
620-630b
3%
630-640b
9%
640-650b
78%
650-660b
15%
660-670b
4%
670b+
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for April 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Market Opened: Mar 30, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for April 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors the 640-650 billion range at 82% implied probability for Elon Musk's net worth per the Bloomberg Billionaires Index close on April 30, driven by the index's April 29 reading of $645 billion after a minor $2.3 billion dip linked to Tesla's 0.86% stock decline to $372.80 amid stable EV demand and robotaxi hype. SpaceX's early-April confidential IPO filing, eyeing $1.75 trillion-plus valuation post-xAI merger, fuels cultural buzz around Musk's empire but Bloomberg's conservative private holdings estimate tempers immediate gains. With no major catalysts in the last 48 hours, traders anticipate continuity barring late-day Tesla volatility or announcements before the nightly update.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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