Trader consensus clusters tightly around 120-139 posts (30%) and 200+ (23%) for Donald Trump's Truth Social activity from May 15-22, reflecting his established average of 18-19 posts per day through April 2026—totaling 2,249 in the year's first four months per NPR analysis released May 8—while accounting for erratic late-night sprees like 55 posts in 74 minutes on May 11 evening targeting election conspiracies and DOJ actions. This variability stems from news-driven bursts on topics like midterm rigging claims or foreign policy, keeping higher bins viable against quieter periods during White House events. Separation could arise from scheduled cabinet confirmations, diplomatic summits, or breaking scandals prompting posting marathons, versus travel or legislative deadlines curbing volume.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDonald Trump # Truth Social posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?
200+ 28%
120-139 19%
140-159 16%
100-119 15%
NEW
NEW
May 22, 2026
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
1%
60-79
3%
80-99
5%
100-119
15%
120-139
19%
140-159
16%
160-179
14%
180-199
12%
200+
31%
200+ 28%
120-139 19%
140-159 16%
100-119 15%
NEW
NEW
May 22, 2026
<20
$3,685 Vol.
1%
20-39
$203 Vol.
1%
40-59
$240 Vol.
1%
60-79
$106 Vol.
3%
80-99
$179 Vol.
5%
100-119
$152 Vol.
15%
120-139
$207 Vol.
19%
140-159
$174 Vol.
16%
160-179
$193 Vol.
14%
180-199
$184 Vol.
12%
200+
$286 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 120-139 posts (30%) and 200+ (23%) for Donald Trump's Truth Social activity from May 15-22, reflecting his established average of 18-19 posts per day through April 2026—totaling 2,249 in the year's first four months per NPR analysis released May 8—while accounting for erratic late-night sprees like 55 posts in 74 minutes on May 11 evening targeting election conspiracies and DOJ actions. This variability stems from news-driven bursts on topics like midterm rigging claims or foreign policy, keeping higher bins viable against quieter periods during White House events. Separation could arise from scheduled cabinet confirmations, diplomatic summits, or breaking scandals prompting posting marathons, versus travel or legislative deadlines curbing volume.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$5,610End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 120-139 posts (30%) and 200+ (23%) for Donald Trump's Truth Social activity from May 15-22, reflecting his established average of 18-19 posts per day through April 2026—totaling 2,249 in the year's first four months per NPR analysis released May 8—while accounting for erratic late-night sprees like 55 posts in 74 minutes on May 11 evening targeting election conspiracies and DOJ actions. This variability stems from news-driven bursts on topics like midterm rigging claims or foreign policy, keeping higher bins viable against quieter periods during White House events. Separation could arise from scheduled cabinet confirmations, diplomatic summits, or breaking scandals prompting posting marathons, versus travel or legislative deadlines curbing volume.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$5,610End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 120-139 posts (30%) and 200+ (23%) for Donald Trump's Truth Social activity from May 15-22, reflecting his established average of 18-19 posts per day through April 2026—totaling 2,249 in the year's first four months per NPR analysis released May 8—while accounting for erratic late-night sprees like 55 posts in 74 minutes on May 11 evening targeting election conspiracies and DOJ actions. This variability stems from news-driven bursts on topics like midterm rigging claims or foreign policy, keeping higher bins viable against quieter periods during White House events. Separation could arise from scheduled cabinet confirmations, diplomatic summits, or breaking scandals prompting posting marathons, versus travel or legislative deadlines curbing volume.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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