President Donald Trump departed the White House on May 12 for a state visit to China at President Xi Jinping's invitation, marking the first by a sitting U.S. president in nearly a decade and spanning May 13-15 in Beijing. The itinerary features a state banquet on May 14 evening, where Trump is expected to deliver remarks amid bilateral talks on trade tariffs, AI communication channels, Taiwan tensions, and technology restrictions. Recent pre-trip comments from Trump struck an optimistic tone, describing China as "amazing," praising Xi as "respected," and forecasting "great things" for both nations, while downplaying Chinese involvement in the ongoing Iran conflict. This contrasts with historical U.S.-China friction over unfair trade practices and intellectual property, setting the stage for traders monitoring potential shifts in diplomatic rhetoric during the summit.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
May 13, 2026
Silk Road
20%
Ping-pong / Ping Pong
25%
Heaven
48%
Tiger
24%
Forbidden City
19%
Nixon
24%
Farm / Farmer
43%
Gun
15%
Dynasty
29%
Confucius / Confucian
13%
Friendship
64%
Hottest
24%
Sovereign / Sovereignty
25%
Ancient
51%
Farm / Farmer
42%
World War II
23%
Temple
56%
Paper
19%
-No Qualifying Event-
12%
$6,014 Vol.
Silk Road
$102 Vol.
20%
Ping-pong / Ping Pong
$56 Vol.
25%
Heaven
$1,368 Vol.
48%
Tiger
$23 Vol.
24%
Forbidden City
$98 Vol.
19%
Nixon
$17 Vol.
24%
Farm / Farmer
$51 Vol.
43%
Gun
$43 Vol.
15%
Dynasty
$31 Vol.
29%
Confucius / Confucian
$124 Vol.
13%
Friendship
$180 Vol.
64%
Hottest
$257 Vol.
24%
Sovereign / Sovereignty
$153 Vol.
25%
Ancient
$358 Vol.
51%
Farm / Farmer
$93 Vol.
42%
World War II
$17 Vol.
23%
Temple
$260 Vol.
56%
Paper
$62 Vol.
19%
-No Qualifying Event-
$2,720 Vol.
12%
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a State Banquet in Beijing on May 14, 2026, 6AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the State Banquet scheduled for May 14, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President participates in a State Banquet with the President of the People's Republic of China [Local: 6:00 PM]" scheduled for May 14, 2026, 6AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.President Donald Trump departed the White House on May 12 for a state visit to China at President Xi Jinping's invitation, marking the first by a sitting U.S. president in nearly a decade and spanning May 13-15 in Beijing. The itinerary features a state banquet on May 14 evening, where Trump is expected to deliver remarks amid bilateral talks on trade tariffs, AI communication channels, Taiwan tensions, and technology restrictions. Recent pre-trip comments from Trump struck an optimistic tone, describing China as "amazing," praising Xi as "respected," and forecasting "great things" for both nations, while downplaying Chinese involvement in the ongoing Iran conflict. This contrasts with historical U.S.-China friction over unfair trade practices and intellectual property, setting the stage for traders monitoring potential shifts in diplomatic rhetoric during the summit.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a State Banquet in Beijing on May 14, 2026, 6AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the State Banquet scheduled for May 14, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President participates in a State Banquet with the President of the People's Republic of China [Local: 6:00 PM]" scheduled for May 14, 2026, 6AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the State Banquet scheduled for May 14, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President participates in a State Banquet with the President of the People's Republic of China [Local: 6:00 PM]" scheduled for May 14, 2026, 6AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 8:06 PM ET
Volume
$6,014End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 8:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a State Banquet in Beijing on May 14, 2026, 6AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the State Banquet scheduled for May 14, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President participates in a State Banquet with the President of the People's Republic of China [Local: 6:00 PM]" scheduled for May 14, 2026, 6AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.President Donald Trump departed the White House on May 12 for a state visit to China at President Xi Jinping's invitation, marking the first by a sitting U.S. president in nearly a decade and spanning May 13-15 in Beijing. The itinerary features a state banquet on May 14 evening, where Trump is expected to deliver remarks amid bilateral talks on trade tariffs, AI communication channels, Taiwan tensions, and technology restrictions. Recent pre-trip comments from Trump struck an optimistic tone, describing China as "amazing," praising Xi as "respected," and forecasting "great things" for both nations, while downplaying Chinese involvement in the ongoing Iran conflict. This contrasts with historical U.S.-China friction over unfair trade practices and intellectual property, setting the stage for traders monitoring potential shifts in diplomatic rhetoric during the summit.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a State Banquet in Beijing on May 14, 2026, 6AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the State Banquet scheduled for May 14, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President participates in a State Banquet with the President of the People's Republic of China [Local: 6:00 PM]" scheduled for May 14, 2026, 6AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the State Banquet scheduled for May 14, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President participates in a State Banquet with the President of the People's Republic of China [Local: 6:00 PM]" scheduled for May 14, 2026, 6AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,014End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 8:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump departed the White House on May 12 for a state visit to China at President Xi Jinping's invitation, marking the first by a sitting U.S. president in nearly a decade and spanning May 13-15 in Beijing. The itinerary features a state banquet on May 14 evening, where Trump is expected to deliver remarks amid bilateral talks on trade tariffs, AI communication channels, Taiwan tensions, and technology restrictions. Recent pre-trip comments from Trump struck an optimistic tone, describing China as "amazing," praising Xi as "respected," and forecasting "great things" for both nations, while downplaying Chinese involvement in the ongoing Iran conflict. This contrasts with historical U.S.-China friction over unfair trade practices and intellectual property, setting the stage for traders monitoring potential shifts in diplomatic rhetoric during the summit.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions