Chud the Builder, the controversial livestreamer Dalton Eatherly, faces attempted murder and related felony charges stemming from a May 13, 2026, courthouse shooting in Clarksville, Tennessee, but traders assign an 84.5% implied probability against conviction. The primary driver is Eatherly’s self-defense claim—he alleges the victim struck first during a heated altercation—combined with Tennessee’s stand-your-ground provisions and the absence of clear evidence establishing premeditation or that he was the initial aggressor. Early-stage proceedings, including a $1 million bond with strict conditions and recent attorney changes, further underscore the uncertainty. Upcoming catalysts like grand jury review or discovery could shift momentum, yet the high bar for securing a conviction on these facts keeps market sentiment firmly tilted toward acquittal or reduced charges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$13,424 Vol.
$13,424 Vol.
Jul 31, 2027
$13,424 Vol.
$13,424 Vol.
Jul 31, 2027
Dalton Eatherly (Chud the Builder) has been charged with Attempted Murder by The State of Tennessee. You can read more about that here: https://www.local3news.com/regional-national/livestreamer-known-for-racist-content-faces-attempted-murder-charge-bond-set-at-1-25-million/article_11dcac35-652f-5716-8a86-1f10157764e0.html
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any attempted murder charge in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all relevant charges are dropped, or otherwise changed such that no further attempted murder charges remain, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If an attempted murder conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.Chud the Builder, the controversial livestreamer Dalton Eatherly, faces attempted murder and related felony charges stemming from a May 13, 2026, courthouse shooting in Clarksville, Tennessee, but traders assign an 84.5% implied probability against conviction. The primary driver is Eatherly’s self-defense claim—he alleges the victim struck first during a heated altercation—combined with Tennessee’s stand-your-ground provisions and the absence of clear evidence establishing premeditation or that he was the initial aggressor. Early-stage proceedings, including a $1 million bond with strict conditions and recent attorney changes, further underscore the uncertainty. Upcoming catalysts like grand jury review or discovery could shift momentum, yet the high bar for securing a conviction on these facts keeps market sentiment firmly tilted toward acquittal or reduced charges.
Dalton Eatherly (Chud the Builder) has been charged with Attempted Murder by The State of Tennessee. You can read more about that here: https://www.local3news.com/regional-national/livestreamer-known-for-racist-content-faces-attempted-murder-charge-bond-set-at-1-25-million/article_11dcac35-652f-5716-8a86-1f10157764e0.html
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any attempted murder charge in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all relevant charges are dropped, or otherwise changed such that no further attempted murder charges remain, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If an attempted murder conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any attempted murder charge in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all relevant charges are dropped, or otherwise changed such that no further attempted murder charges remain, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If an attempted murder conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: May 21, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volume
$13,424End Date
Jul 31, 2027Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Dalton Eatherly (Chud the Builder) has been charged with Attempted Murder by The State of Tennessee. You can read more about that here: https://www.local3news.com/regional-national/livestreamer-known-for-racist-content-faces-attempted-murder-charge-bond-set-at-1-25-million/article_11dcac35-652f-5716-8a86-1f10157764e0.html
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any attempted murder charge in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all relevant charges are dropped, or otherwise changed such that no further attempted murder charges remain, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If an attempted murder conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.Chud the Builder, the controversial livestreamer Dalton Eatherly, faces attempted murder and related felony charges stemming from a May 13, 2026, courthouse shooting in Clarksville, Tennessee, but traders assign an 84.5% implied probability against conviction. The primary driver is Eatherly’s self-defense claim—he alleges the victim struck first during a heated altercation—combined with Tennessee’s stand-your-ground provisions and the absence of clear evidence establishing premeditation or that he was the initial aggressor. Early-stage proceedings, including a $1 million bond with strict conditions and recent attorney changes, further underscore the uncertainty. Upcoming catalysts like grand jury review or discovery could shift momentum, yet the high bar for securing a conviction on these facts keeps market sentiment firmly tilted toward acquittal or reduced charges.
Dalton Eatherly (Chud the Builder) has been charged with Attempted Murder by The State of Tennessee. You can read more about that here: https://www.local3news.com/regional-national/livestreamer-known-for-racist-content-faces-attempted-murder-charge-bond-set-at-1-25-million/article_11dcac35-652f-5716-8a86-1f10157764e0.html
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any attempted murder charge in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all relevant charges are dropped, or otherwise changed such that no further attempted murder charges remain, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If an attempted murder conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any attempted murder charge in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all relevant charges are dropped, or otherwise changed such that no further attempted murder charges remain, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If an attempted murder conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$13,424End Date
Jul 31, 2027Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Chud the Builder, the controversial livestreamer Dalton Eatherly, faces attempted murder and related felony charges stemming from a May 13, 2026, courthouse shooting in Clarksville, Tennessee, but traders assign an 84.5% implied probability against conviction. The primary driver is Eatherly’s self-defense claim—he alleges the victim struck first during a heated altercation—combined with Tennessee’s stand-your-ground provisions and the absence of clear evidence establishing premeditation or that he was the initial aggressor. Early-stage proceedings, including a $1 million bond with strict conditions and recent attorney changes, further underscore the uncertainty. Upcoming catalysts like grand jury review or discovery could shift momentum, yet the high bar for securing a conviction on these facts keeps market sentiment firmly tilted toward acquittal or reduced charges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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