No vacancy on the U.S. Supreme Court has been announced or appears imminent as of mid-June 2026. The court’s two oldest members, Clarence Thomas (77) and Samuel Alito (76), have signaled through sources that they intend to serve through the year and into 2027, despite earlier spring speculation linked to efforts to enable additional appointments ahead of the midterms. Minor health incidents, including a brief hospitalization for Alito, produced no departures. No other justices have indicated retirement plans. Lifetime tenure without fixed terms or mandatory retirement ages continues to support continuity, and traders assign the 63.5 percent probability to “No” based on this absence of concrete developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
Sí
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. No vacancy on the U.S. Supreme Court has been announced or appears imminent as of mid-June 2026. The court’s two oldest members, Clarence Thomas (77) and Samuel Alito (76), have signaled through sources that they intend to serve through the year and into 2027, despite earlier spring speculation linked to efforts to enable additional appointments ahead of the midterms. Minor health incidents, including a brief hospitalization for Alito, produced no departures. No other justices have indicated retirement plans. Lifetime tenure without fixed terms or mandatory retirement ages continues to support continuity, and traders assign the 63.5 percent probability to “No” based on this absence of concrete developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 15, 2025, 7:18 PM ET
Volumen
$4,560Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 15, 2025, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. No vacancy on the U.S. Supreme Court has been announced or appears imminent as of mid-June 2026. The court’s two oldest members, Clarence Thomas (77) and Samuel Alito (76), have signaled through sources that they intend to serve through the year and into 2027, despite earlier spring speculation linked to efforts to enable additional appointments ahead of the midterms. Minor health incidents, including a brief hospitalization for Alito, produced no departures. No other justices have indicated retirement plans. Lifetime tenure without fixed terms or mandatory retirement ages continues to support continuity, and traders assign the 63.5 percent probability to “No” based on this absence of concrete developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$4,560Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 15, 2025, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...No vacancy on the U.S. Supreme Court has been announced or appears imminent as of mid-June 2026. The court’s two oldest members, Clarence Thomas (77) and Samuel Alito (76), have signaled through sources that they intend to serve through the year and into 2027, despite earlier spring speculation linked to efforts to enable additional appointments ahead of the midterms. Minor health incidents, including a brief hospitalization for Alito, produced no departures. No other justices have indicated retirement plans. Lifetime tenure without fixed terms or mandatory retirement ages continues to support continuity, and traders assign the 63.5 percent probability to “No” based on this absence of concrete developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes