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icon for Central Bank of Colombia Decision in April?

Central Bank of Colombia Decision in April?

icon for Central Bank of Colombia Decision in April?

Central Bank of Colombia Decision in April?

No change 100.0%

Decrease <1%

Increase <1%

Polymarket

$118,946 Vol.

No change 100.0%

Decrease <1%

Increase <1%

Polymarket

$118,946 Vol.

Decrease

$50,218 Vol.

<1%

No change

$34,743 Vol.

100%

Increase

$33,985 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos. This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no change at a 99.8% implied probability for the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 decision, driven by Banco de la República's unanimous announcement today holding the benchmark policy rate steady at 11.25%. This defied pre-meeting surveys anticipating a 50 basis point hike to 11.75%, amid March inflation accelerating to 5.6% year-over-year—above the 3% target midpoint—yet balanced by stronger first-quarter GDP growth, a resilient labor market, and moderated longer-term inflation expectations. Finance Minister Germán Ávila's attendance signaled eased government tensions following prior rifts. With the official communiqué issued, realistic challenges are negligible barring an extraordinary reversal; traders now eye the next meeting and April Monetary Policy Report for forward guidance on inflation convergence.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.

This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$118,946
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos. This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Outcome proposed: No

Dispute window

Final

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos. This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no change at a 99.8% implied probability for the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 decision, driven by Banco de la República's unanimous announcement today holding the benchmark policy rate steady at 11.25%. This defied pre-meeting surveys anticipating a 50 basis point hike to 11.75%, amid March inflation accelerating to 5.6% year-over-year—above the 3% target midpoint—yet balanced by stronger first-quarter GDP growth, a resilient labor market, and moderated longer-term inflation expectations. Finance Minister Germán Ávila's attendance signaled eased government tensions following prior rifts. With the official communiqué issued, realistic challenges are negligible barring an extraordinary reversal; traders now eye the next meeting and April Monetary Policy Report for forward guidance on inflation convergence.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.

This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$118,946
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos. This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Outcome proposed: No

Dispute window

Final

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Central Bank of Colombia Decision in April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No change" at 100%, followed by "Decrease" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Central Bank of Colombia Decision in April?" has generated $118.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Central Bank of Colombia Decision in April?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Central Bank of Colombia Decision in April?" is "No change" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Decrease" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Central Bank of Colombia Decision in April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.