Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no change at a 99.8% implied probability for the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 decision, driven by Banco de la República's unanimous announcement today holding the benchmark policy rate steady at 11.25%. This defied pre-meeting surveys anticipating a 50 basis point hike to 11.75%, amid March inflation accelerating to 5.6% year-over-year—above the 3% target midpoint—yet balanced by stronger first-quarter GDP growth, a resilient labor market, and moderated longer-term inflation expectations. Finance Minister Germán Ávila's attendance signaled eased government tensions following prior rifts. With the official communiqué issued, realistic challenges are negligible barring an extraordinary reversal; traders now eye the next meeting and April Monetary Policy Report for forward guidance on inflation convergence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCentral Bank of Colombia Decision in April?
Central Bank of Colombia Decision in April?
No change 100.0%
Decrease <1%
Increase <1%
$118,946 Vol.
$118,946 Vol.
Decrease
<1%
No change
100%
Increase
<1%
No change 100.0%
Decrease <1%
Increase <1%
$118,946 Vol.
$118,946 Vol.
Decrease
<1%
No change
100%
Increase
<1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Market Opened: Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no change at a 99.8% implied probability for the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 decision, driven by Banco de la República's unanimous announcement today holding the benchmark policy rate steady at 11.25%. This defied pre-meeting surveys anticipating a 50 basis point hike to 11.75%, amid March inflation accelerating to 5.6% year-over-year—above the 3% target midpoint—yet balanced by stronger first-quarter GDP growth, a resilient labor market, and moderated longer-term inflation expectations. Finance Minister Germán Ávila's attendance signaled eased government tensions following prior rifts. With the official communiqué issued, realistic challenges are negligible barring an extraordinary reversal; traders now eye the next meeting and April Monetary Policy Report for forward guidance on inflation convergence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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