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icon for Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner

Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner

icon for Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner

Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner

Civil Contract 100.0%

Armenian National Congress <1%

Prosperous Armenia <1%

Strong Armenia <1%

Polymarket

$1,217,015 Vol.

Civil Contract 100.0%

Armenian National Congress <1%

Prosperous Armenia <1%

Strong Armenia <1%

Polymarket

$1,217,015 Vol.

icon for Civil Contract

Civil Contract

$579,357 Vol.

Yes

icon for Armenian National Congress

Armenian National Congress

$29,361 Vol.

No

icon for Prosperous Armenia

Prosperous Armenia

$102,846 Vol.

No

icon for Strong Armenia

Strong Armenia

$194,315 Vol.

No

icon for Armenia Alliance

Armenia Alliance

$199,747 Vol.

No

icon for Bright Armenia

Bright Armenia

$22,852 Vol.

No

icon for I Have Honor Alliance

I Have Honor Alliance

$18,866 Vol.

No

icon for Hanrapetutyun Party

Hanrapetutyun Party

$20,119 Vol.

No

icon for Heritage

Heritage

$21,235 Vol.

No

icon for Orinats Yerkir

Orinats Yerkir

$28,434 Vol.

No

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election. If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract secured a parliamentary majority in Armenia’s June 7 election with approximately 49.8 percent of the vote, translating into 64 seats and a clear edge over Strong Armenia (23 percent) and Armenia Alliance (10 percent). Traders assign near-certainty to its win because preliminary and partial counts from the Central Election Commission confirmed the result shortly after polls closed, reflecting the incumbent party’s organizational strength and voter response to its pro-Western orientation and peace negotiations with Azerbaijan. Opposition efforts to frame the contest around Russian ties and domestic discontent did not overcome this margin. Remaining uncertainty centers on final vote certification, minor threshold disputes for smaller parties, or potential post-election legal challenges, any of which could theoretically alter seat allocation but face high procedural barriers given the documented lead.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.

If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Volume
$1,217,015
End Date
Jun 7, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election. If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Final outcome: Yes

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election. If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract secured a parliamentary majority in Armenia’s June 7 election with approximately 49.8 percent of the vote, translating into 64 seats and a clear edge over Strong Armenia (23 percent) and Armenia Alliance (10 percent). Traders assign near-certainty to its win because preliminary and partial counts from the Central Election Commission confirmed the result shortly after polls closed, reflecting the incumbent party’s organizational strength and voter response to its pro-Western orientation and peace negotiations with Azerbaijan. Opposition efforts to frame the contest around Russian ties and domestic discontent did not overcome this margin. Remaining uncertainty centers on final vote certification, minor threshold disputes for smaller parties, or potential post-election legal challenges, any of which could theoretically alter seat allocation but face high procedural barriers given the documented lead.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.

If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Volume
$1,217,015
End Date
Jun 7, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election. If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Civil Contract" at 100%, followed by "Armenian National Congress" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner" has generated $1.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner" is "Civil Contract" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Armenian National Congress" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.