Abelardo de la Espriella captured 43.7 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election, establishing a clear lead over leftist rival Iván Cepeda’s 40.9 percent and securing his place in the June 21 runoff. This outcome consolidated support from traditional conservative and center-right voters behind the Defenders of the Homeland candidate, whose platform emphasized security measures against armed groups and economic deregulation, allowing him to outperform pre-election polling averages. Endorsements from figures including former presidents Álvaro Uribe and Iván Duque, along with third-place finisher Paloma Valencia, further reinforced his position after the first round. Trader consensus on the 40-45 percent bin reflects these verified tallies from Colombia’s national registry, though final certification and any procedural challenges could still influence resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAbelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
Abelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
40-45% 99.3%
25-30% 2.8%
45%+ 1.0%
20-25% <1%
$12,411 Vol.
$12,411 Vol.
May 31, 2026
<20%
<1%
20-25%
1%
25-30%
3%
30-35%
<1%
35-40%
<1%
40-45%
99%
45%+
1%
40-45% 99.3%
25-30% 2.8%
45%+ 1.0%
20-25% <1%
$12,411 Vol.
$12,411 Vol.
May 31, 2026
<20%
$726 Vol.
<1%
20-25%
$1,448 Vol.
1%
25-30%
$1,456 Vol.
3%
30-35%
$1,237 Vol.
<1%
35-40%
$1,681 Vol.
<1%
40-45%
$2,895 Vol.
99%
45%+
$2,968 Vol.
1%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Abelardo de la Espriella captured 43.7 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election, establishing a clear lead over leftist rival Iván Cepeda’s 40.9 percent and securing his place in the June 21 runoff. This outcome consolidated support from traditional conservative and center-right voters behind the Defenders of the Homeland candidate, whose platform emphasized security measures against armed groups and economic deregulation, allowing him to outperform pre-election polling averages. Endorsements from figures including former presidents Álvaro Uribe and Iván Duque, along with third-place finisher Paloma Valencia, further reinforced his position after the first round. Trader consensus on the 40-45 percent bin reflects these verified tallies from Colombia’s national registry, though final certification and any procedural challenges could still influence resolution.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Market Opened: May 27, 2026, 10:15 PM ET
Volume
$12,411End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 10:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Abelardo de la Espriella captured 43.7 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election, establishing a clear lead over leftist rival Iván Cepeda’s 40.9 percent and securing his place in the June 21 runoff. This outcome consolidated support from traditional conservative and center-right voters behind the Defenders of the Homeland candidate, whose platform emphasized security measures against armed groups and economic deregulation, allowing him to outperform pre-election polling averages. Endorsements from figures including former presidents Álvaro Uribe and Iván Duque, along with third-place finisher Paloma Valencia, further reinforced his position after the first round. Trader consensus on the 40-45 percent bin reflects these verified tallies from Colombia’s national registry, though final certification and any procedural challenges could still influence resolution.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Volume
$12,411End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 10:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Abelardo de la Espriella captured 43.7 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election, establishing a clear lead over leftist rival Iván Cepeda’s 40.9 percent and securing his place in the June 21 runoff. This outcome consolidated support from traditional conservative and center-right voters behind the Defenders of the Homeland candidate, whose platform emphasized security measures against armed groups and economic deregulation, allowing him to outperform pre-election polling averages. Endorsements from figures including former presidents Álvaro Uribe and Iván Duque, along with third-place finisher Paloma Valencia, further reinforced his position after the first round. Trader consensus on the 40-45 percent bin reflects these verified tallies from Colombia’s national registry, though final certification and any procedural challenges could still influence resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
Will Iván Cepeda win between 40% and 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?
99%
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
100%
Will Paloma Valencia win less than 10% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?
99%
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