The KMT-TPP cooperation agreement, formalized in March 2026 and followed by joint candidate nominations in key races such as New Taipei City and Chiayi, has consolidated the opposition vote ahead of the November 28 local elections. This coordination builds on the KMT’s 2022 gains and its 14 current magistrate/mayoral seats, while the DPP’s 5 seats reflect challenges from divided government, legislative gridlock, and voter fatigue after multiple national terms. TPP founder Ko Wen-je’s March 2026 sentencing further aligned opposition messaging against the ruling party without elevating the smaller TPP’s standalone prospects. Trader consensus on a KMT victory reflects these structural advantages in nomination efficiency and historical local performance, with limited recent catalysts shifting momentum toward the DPP.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
Kuomintang (KMT) 82%
Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) 18%
Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) <1%
$119,578 Vol.
$119,578 Vol.
Nov 28, 2026
Kuomintang (KMT)
82%
Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)
18%
Taiwan People’s Party (TPP)
1%
Kuomintang (KMT) 82%
Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) 18%
Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) <1%
$119,578 Vol.
$119,578 Vol.
Nov 28, 2026
Kuomintang (KMT)
$41,774 Vol.
82%
Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)
$31,759 Vol.
18%
Taiwan People’s Party (TPP)
$46,045 Vol.
1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties:
Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City
Counties (magistrate elections): Yilan County, Hsinchu County, Miaoli County, Changhua County, Nantou County, Yunlin County, Chiayi County, Pingtung County, Taitung County, Hualien County, Penghu County, Lienchiang County, Kinmen County
Only elections for the listed cities, special municipalities or counties will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections aren’t known by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).The KMT-TPP cooperation agreement, formalized in March 2026 and followed by joint candidate nominations in key races such as New Taipei City and Chiayi, has consolidated the opposition vote ahead of the November 28 local elections. This coordination builds on the KMT’s 2022 gains and its 14 current magistrate/mayoral seats, while the DPP’s 5 seats reflect challenges from divided government, legislative gridlock, and voter fatigue after multiple national terms. TPP founder Ko Wen-je’s March 2026 sentencing further aligned opposition messaging against the ruling party without elevating the smaller TPP’s standalone prospects. Trader consensus on a KMT victory reflects these structural advantages in nomination efficiency and historical local performance, with limited recent catalysts shifting momentum toward the DPP.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties:
Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City
Counties (magistrate elections): Yilan County, Hsinchu County, Miaoli County, Changhua County, Nantou County, Yunlin County, Chiayi County, Pingtung County, Taitung County, Hualien County, Penghu County, Lienchiang County, Kinmen County
Only elections for the listed cities, special municipalities or counties will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections aren’t known by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties:
Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City
Counties (magistrate elections): Yilan County, Hsinchu County, Miaoli County, Changhua County, Nantou County, Yunlin County, Chiayi County, Pingtung County, Taitung County, Hualien County, Penghu County, Lienchiang County, Kinmen County
Only elections for the listed cities, special municipalities or counties will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections aren’t known by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Market Opened: Dec 4, 2025, 3:31 PM ET
Volume
$119,578End Date
Nov 28, 2026Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 3:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties:
Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City
Counties (magistrate elections): Yilan County, Hsinchu County, Miaoli County, Changhua County, Nantou County, Yunlin County, Chiayi County, Pingtung County, Taitung County, Hualien County, Penghu County, Lienchiang County, Kinmen County
Only elections for the listed cities, special municipalities or counties will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections aren’t known by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).The KMT-TPP cooperation agreement, formalized in March 2026 and followed by joint candidate nominations in key races such as New Taipei City and Chiayi, has consolidated the opposition vote ahead of the November 28 local elections. This coordination builds on the KMT’s 2022 gains and its 14 current magistrate/mayoral seats, while the DPP’s 5 seats reflect challenges from divided government, legislative gridlock, and voter fatigue after multiple national terms. TPP founder Ko Wen-je’s March 2026 sentencing further aligned opposition messaging against the ruling party without elevating the smaller TPP’s standalone prospects. Trader consensus on a KMT victory reflects these structural advantages in nomination efficiency and historical local performance, with limited recent catalysts shifting momentum toward the DPP.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties:
Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City
Counties (magistrate elections): Yilan County, Hsinchu County, Miaoli County, Changhua County, Nantou County, Yunlin County, Chiayi County, Pingtung County, Taitung County, Hualien County, Penghu County, Lienchiang County, Kinmen County
Only elections for the listed cities, special municipalities or counties will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections aren’t known by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties:
Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City
Counties (magistrate elections): Yilan County, Hsinchu County, Miaoli County, Changhua County, Nantou County, Yunlin County, Chiayi County, Pingtung County, Taitung County, Hualien County, Penghu County, Lienchiang County, Kinmen County
Only elections for the listed cities, special municipalities or counties will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections aren’t known by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$119,578End Date
Nov 28, 2026Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 3:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The KMT-TPP cooperation agreement, formalized in March 2026 and followed by joint candidate nominations in key races such as New Taipei City and Chiayi, has consolidated the opposition vote ahead of the November 28 local elections. This coordination builds on the KMT’s 2022 gains and its 14 current magistrate/mayoral seats, while the DPP’s 5 seats reflect challenges from divided government, legislative gridlock, and voter fatigue after multiple national terms. TPP founder Ko Wen-je’s March 2026 sentencing further aligned opposition messaging against the ruling party without elevating the smaller TPP’s standalone prospects. Trader consensus on a KMT victory reflects these structural advantages in nomination efficiency and historical local performance, with limited recent catalysts shifting momentum toward the DPP.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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