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icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?

icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?

Jun 13

Jun 13

Claude by Anthropic 51%

ChatGPT 36%

Google Gemini 29%

Google 2.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Claude by Anthropic 51%

ChatGPT 36%

Google Gemini 29%

Google 2.5%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Claude by Anthropic

Claude by Anthropic

$144 Vol.

51%

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$0 Vol.

36%

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$122 Vol.

29%

icon for Google

Google

$189 Vol.

3%

icon for Instants, an Instagram app

Instants, an Instagram app

$135 Vol.

2%

icon for Planet Fitness

Planet Fitness

$141 Vol.

2%

icon for Сириус

Сириус

$176 Vol.

2%

icon for Threads

Threads

$161 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).The close contest for the #2 free app ranking on the US Apple App Store reflects intense competition among AI chatbots, with Claude by Anthropic holding a narrow edge in trader sentiment. Recent model updates and feature enhancements have boosted visibility for leading large language model apps, while user adoption patterns, marketing campaigns, and algorithmic promotion on the platform create rapid shifts in download velocity. ChatGPT and Google Gemini trail due to established user bases offset by newer entrants vying for attention. Key differentiators include demonstrated capabilities in reasoning and integration, alongside unpredictable factors like viral trends or App Store featuring that can alter rankings within days of the June 12 resolution.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$1,069
End Date
Jun 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 10:06 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).The close contest for the #2 free app ranking on the US Apple App Store reflects intense competition among AI chatbots, with Claude by Anthropic holding a narrow edge in trader sentiment. Recent model updates and feature enhancements have boosted visibility for leading large language model apps, while user adoption patterns, marketing campaigns, and algorithmic promotion on the platform create rapid shifts in download velocity. ChatGPT and Google Gemini trail due to established user bases offset by newer entrants vying for attention. Key differentiators include demonstrated capabilities in reasoning and integration, alongside unpredictable factors like viral trends or App Store featuring that can alter rankings within days of the June 12 resolution.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$1,069
End Date
Jun 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 10:06 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Claude by Anthropic" at 51%, followed by "ChatGPT" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?" is "Claude by Anthropic" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "ChatGPT" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.