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icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?

icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?

Jun 13

Jun 13

ChatGPT 65%

Сириус 15.3%

Planet Fitness 6.8%

Claude by Anthropic 3.9%

Polymarket
NEW

ChatGPT 65%

Сириус 15.3%

Planet Fitness 6.8%

Claude by Anthropic 3.9%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$374 Vol.

65%

icon for Сириус

Сириус

$65 Vol.

15%

icon for Planet Fitness

Planet Fitness

$137 Vol.

7%

icon for Claude by Anthropic

Claude by Anthropic

$173 Vol.

4%

icon for Instants, an Instagram app

Instants, an Instagram app

$158 Vol.

3%

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$123 Vol.

2%

icon for Threads

Threads

$217 Vol.

2%

icon for Google

Google

$754 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT holds the strongest market-implied odds at 65% for the #1 free spot on June 12 due to its consistent chart dominance and fresh momentum from June 8 app updates improving charts, navigation, and writing tools. AI companions continue to drive massive downloads, with the app frequently reclaiming the top US free ranking amid broader category strength that has sidelined competitors like Claude and Google Gemini to single-digit probabilities. Lower-priced outcomes such as Planet Fitness reflect limited promotional catalysts or seasonal spikes, while the tight cluster around 50% for several lesser-known apps underscores high uncertainty and potential for rapid daily shifts based on organic installs. Traders are pricing in sustained OpenAI visibility heading into the mid-month window, though any surprise viral competitor could still disrupt the leaderboard.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$2,002
End Date
Jun 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 10:05 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT holds the strongest market-implied odds at 65% for the #1 free spot on June 12 due to its consistent chart dominance and fresh momentum from June 8 app updates improving charts, navigation, and writing tools. AI companions continue to drive massive downloads, with the app frequently reclaiming the top US free ranking amid broader category strength that has sidelined competitors like Claude and Google Gemini to single-digit probabilities. Lower-priced outcomes such as Planet Fitness reflect limited promotional catalysts or seasonal spikes, while the tight cluster around 50% for several lesser-known apps underscores high uncertainty and potential for rapid daily shifts based on organic installs. Traders are pricing in sustained OpenAI visibility heading into the mid-month window, though any surprise viral competitor could still disrupt the leaderboard.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$2,002
End Date
Jun 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 10:05 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ChatGPT" at 65%, followed by "Сириус" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?" is "ChatGPT" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Сириус" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.