Traders see closely matched 40.5% implied probabilities across SpaceX IPO closing share price ranges and the possibility of no IPO before 2028 because the company’s $1.75 trillion target valuation at a proposed $135 per share creates high uncertainty around post-listing performance. Strong institutional demand and Starlink revenue momentum support expectations for an opening near the fixed price, yet elevated multiples relative to historical IPO precedents and potential volatility from limited float introduce downside risks below $150 or upside above $200. The imminent June 2026 pricing and Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX represent the key near-term catalyst that could resolve the current deadlock in trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$100-$150 41%
$150-$200 41%
$200-$250 41%
$250+ 41%
NEW
NEW
Jun 13, 2026
<$100
20%
$100-$150
41%
$150-$200
41%
$200-$250
41%
$250+
41%
No IPO before 2028
10%
$100-$150 41%
$150-$200 41%
$200-$250 41%
$250+ 41%
NEW
NEW
Jun 13, 2026
<$100
$0 Vol.
20%
$100-$150
$0 Vol.
41%
$150-$200
$0 Vol.
41%
$200-$250
$0 Vol.
41%
$250+
$0 Vol.
41%
No IPO before 2028
$5 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders see closely matched 40.5% implied probabilities across SpaceX IPO closing share price ranges and the possibility of no IPO before 2028 because the company’s $1.75 trillion target valuation at a proposed $135 per share creates high uncertainty around post-listing performance. Strong institutional demand and Starlink revenue momentum support expectations for an opening near the fixed price, yet elevated multiples relative to historical IPO precedents and potential volatility from limited float introduce downside risks below $150 or upside above $200. The imminent June 2026 pricing and Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX represent the key near-term catalyst that could resolve the current deadlock in trader consensus.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 1:32 AM ET
Volume
$5End Date
Jun 13, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 1:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders see closely matched 40.5% implied probabilities across SpaceX IPO closing share price ranges and the possibility of no IPO before 2028 because the company’s $1.75 trillion target valuation at a proposed $135 per share creates high uncertainty around post-listing performance. Strong institutional demand and Starlink revenue momentum support expectations for an opening near the fixed price, yet elevated multiples relative to historical IPO precedents and potential volatility from limited float introduce downside risks below $150 or upside above $200. The imminent June 2026 pricing and Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX represent the key near-term catalyst that could resolve the current deadlock in trader consensus.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$5End Date
Jun 13, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 1:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see closely matched 40.5% implied probabilities across SpaceX IPO closing share price ranges and the possibility of no IPO before 2028 because the company’s $1.75 trillion target valuation at a proposed $135 per share creates high uncertainty around post-listing performance. Strong institutional demand and Starlink revenue momentum support expectations for an opening near the fixed price, yet elevated multiples relative to historical IPO precedents and potential volatility from limited float introduce downside risks below $150 or upside above $200. The imminent June 2026 pricing and Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX represent the key near-term catalyst that could resolve the current deadlock in trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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