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Tech·Space

SpaceX IPO: Opening Share Price

icon for SpaceX IPO: Opening Share Price
Tech·Space

SpaceX IPO: Opening Share Price

$150-$200 66%

$100-$150 16%

<$100 10%

$250+ 2.4%

Polymarket
NEW

$150-$200 66%

$100-$150 16%

<$100 10%

$250+ 2.4%

Polymarket
NEW

<$100

$604 Vol.

10%

$100-$150

$707 Vol.

20%

$150-$200

$844 Vol.

66%

$200-$250

$553 Vol.

21%

$250+

$1,786 Vol.

8%

No IPO before 2028

$403 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's opening share price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". The opening share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. If no official opening price for SpaceX’s first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's planned IPO pricing at $135 per share, confirmed in early June 2026 SEC filings ahead of the June 12 Nasdaq debut, anchors trader expectations around a modest first-day premium. Strong demand during the ongoing roadshow, driven by Starlink's revenue growth and reusable launch dominance, supports the 65.5% market-implied probability for a $150–$200 opening range. This reflects historical patterns where high-profile space tech listings see initial pops before stabilizing, though exact thresholds hinge on final allocation details and broader market sentiment. With pricing imminent on June 11, any last-minute adjustments to the $1.75–1.77 trillion valuation could shift outcomes toward the narrower $100–$150 band.

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's opening share price on its first day of trading.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".

The opening share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

If no official opening price for SpaceX’s first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$4,841
End Date
Jun 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's opening share price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". The opening share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. If no official opening price for SpaceX’s first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's opening share price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". The opening share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. If no official opening price for SpaceX’s first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's planned IPO pricing at $135 per share, confirmed in early June 2026 SEC filings ahead of the June 12 Nasdaq debut, anchors trader expectations around a modest first-day premium. Strong demand during the ongoing roadshow, driven by Starlink's revenue growth and reusable launch dominance, supports the 65.5% market-implied probability for a $150–$200 opening range. This reflects historical patterns where high-profile space tech listings see initial pops before stabilizing, though exact thresholds hinge on final allocation details and broader market sentiment. With pricing imminent on June 11, any last-minute adjustments to the $1.75–1.77 trillion valuation could shift outcomes toward the narrower $100–$150 band.

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's opening share price on its first day of trading.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".

The opening share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

If no official opening price for SpaceX’s first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$4,841
End Date
Jun 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's opening share price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". The opening share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. If no official opening price for SpaceX’s first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"SpaceX IPO: Opening Share Price" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$150-$200" at 66%, followed by "$200-$250" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 66¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"SpaceX IPO: Opening Share Price" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "SpaceX IPO: Opening Share Price," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "SpaceX IPO: Opening Share Price" is "$150-$200" at 66%, meaning the market assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$200-$250" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "SpaceX IPO: Opening Share Price" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.