¿Confirmarán los EE. UU. que existen extraterrestres para...?
$31,751,622 Vol.
31 dic 2026
30 de abril
$2,169,265 Vol.
<1%
31 de mayo
$884,352 Vol.
4%
30 de junio
$269,667 Vol.
7%
30 de septiembre
$158,059 Vol.
13%
31 de diciembre
$26,328,916 Vol.
19%
$31,751,622 Vol.
30 de abril
$2,169,265 Vol.
<1%
31 de mayo
$884,352 Vol.
4%
30 de junio
$269,667 Vol.
7%
30 de septiembre
$158,059 Vol.
13%
31 de diciembre
$26,328,916 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader sentiment on US government confirmation of alien existence remains cautious amid heightened speculation fueled by President Trump's February 2026 order for federal agencies to release files on extraterrestrial life, followed by his April statements teasing "interesting" documents and imminent disclosures. Congressional pushes, including Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's task force probing "nonhuman origin" claims and upcoming House hearings, alongside White House registrations of alien.gov domains, have amplified public buzz and cultural fervor around UAP disclosure. However, AARO's latest reports and NASA officials emphasize no evidence of intelligent extraterrestrial visitors, underscoring persistent skepticism despite whistleblower testimonies. Key catalysts ahead include potential file drops and hearings, though historical patterns of unfulfilled promises temper optimism in this high-uncertainty pop culture saga.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trader sentiment on US government confirmation of alien existence remains cautious amid heightened speculation fueled by President Trump's February 2026 order for federal agencies to release files on extraterrestrial life, followed by his April statements teasing "interesting" documents and imminent disclosures. Congressional pushes, including Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's task force probing "nonhuman origin" claims and upcoming House hearings, alongside White House registrations of alien.gov domains, have amplified public buzz and cultural fervor around UAP disclosure. However, AARO's latest reports and NASA officials emphasize no evidence of intelligent extraterrestrial visitors, underscoring persistent skepticism despite whistleblower testimonies. Key catalysts ahead include potential file drops and hearings, though historical patterns of unfulfilled promises temper optimism in this high-uncertainty pop culture saga.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Apr 28 2026
Ufologist David Wilcock’s widely reported death amid rumors of a delayed or canceled government announcement dampens disclosure hopes, slightly reducing market odds
December 31 dips to 19%2%
Ufologist David Wilcock’s widely reported death amid rumors of a delayed or canceled government announcement dampens disclosure hopes, slightly reducing market odds
Apr 27 2026
Operation Disclosure Official publishes an article emphasizing that official extraterrestrial disclosure is very close, referencing historical precedents and ongoing pressure on
June 30 rises to 8%1%
Operation Disclosure Official publishes an article emphasizing that official extraterrestrial disclosure is very close, referencing historical precedents and ongoing pressure on governments, which supports a modest
Apr 25 2026
AARO officials reiterated that no extraterrestrial evidence had been found in any UAP reports, tempering the earlier optimism and nudging the
December 31 dips to 20%1%
AARO officials reiterated that no extraterrestrial evidence had been found in any UAP reports, tempering the earlier optimism and nudging the
Apr 23 2026
Disclosure momentum accelerates with widespread discussion of whistleblower deaths and government cover-ups, including the suspicious death of researcher David Wilcock, fueling
June 30 rises to 9%1%
Disclosure momentum accelerates with widespread discussion of whistleblower deaths and government cover-ups, including the suspicious death of researcher David Wilcock, fueling speculation about imminent disclosure
Apr 22 2026
The Guardian reported the Pentagon’s release of previously classified UFO videos, reigniting trader optimism that the files might contain “interesting” evidence
December 31 rises to 21%4%
The Guardian reported the Pentagon’s release of previously classified UFO videos, reigniting trader optimism that the files might contain “interesting” evidence
Apr 22 2026
The Pentagon publicly releases UFO videos and reaffirms ongoing investigations into unidentified aerial phenomena, maintaining market interest in potential disclosure
December 31 rises to 21%1%
The Pentagon publicly releases UFO videos and reaffirms ongoing investigations into unidentified aerial phenomena, maintaining market interest in potential disclosure
Apr 22 2026
The Guardian publishes an investigative report on Pentagon UFO videos and ongoing government secrecy, highlighting the challenges in obtaining definitive proof and contributing to
June 30 rises to 8%3%
The Guardian publishes an investigative report on Pentagon UFO videos and ongoing government secrecy, highlighting the challenges in obtaining definitive proof and contributing to market uncertainty
Apr 21 2026
Pentagon misses April 14 deadline to release 46 videos of unidentified aerial phenomena, as noted by Rep.
June 30 dips to 5%1%
Anna Paulina Luna, causing a drop in confidence about imminent disclosure
Apr 20 2026
Former President Trump announces that the first releases of UFO files will be coming out very soon, signaling potential government disclosure and raising market optimism
June 30 dips to 6%4%
Former President Trump announces that the first releases of UFO files will be coming out very soon, signaling potential government disclosure and raising market optimism
Apr 15 2026
Renewed media coverage highlights ongoing congressional hearings and statements by former intelligence officers about secret Pentagon programs investigating UFOs, boosting market
December 31 rises to 20%4%
Renewed media coverage highlights ongoing congressional hearings and statements by former intelligence officers about secret Pentagon programs investigating UFOs, boosting market sentiment
Apr 12 2026
Reports emerge that the Pentagon’s AARO office found no extraterrestrial evidence in its latest review, tempering optimism but still leaving odds elevated as traders anticipate a
December 31 dips to 19%2%
Reports emerge that the Pentagon’s AARO office found no extraterrestrial evidence in its latest review, tempering optimism but still leaving odds elevated as traders anticipate a possible late‑April announcement
Mar 18 2026
White House quietly registers the “aliens.gov” domain after a Trump directive, igniting speculation of an imminent official confirmation and pushing odds to a new high
December 31 jumps to 21%7%
White House quietly registers the “aliens.gov” domain after a Trump directive, igniting speculation of an imminent official confirmation and pushing odds to a new high
Mar 1 2026
UFO‑researcher David Wilcock’s suicide, reported as a blow to the “Disclosure” movement that had been pushing for a June 30 confirmation, pulled odds down
December 31 dips to 11%3%
UFO‑researcher David Wilcock’s suicide, reported as a blow to the “Disclosure” movement that had been pushing for a June 30 confirmation, pulled odds down
Feb 21 2026
Following initial enthusiasm, skepticism grows as no new concrete evidence or official confirmation emerges from the government’s file releases, leading to a market pullback
December 31 drops to 15%6%
Following initial enthusiasm, skepticism grows as no new concrete evidence or official confirmation emerges from the government’s file releases, leading to a market pullback
Feb 20 2026
President Trump publicly directed the Defense Secretary and other agencies to begin releasing “alien and extraterrestrial” files, sparking a surge of speculation about imminent
December 31 rises to 12%2%
President Trump publicly directed the Defense Secretary and other agencies to begin releasing “alien and extraterrestrial” files, sparking a surge of speculation about imminent disclosure
Feb 20 2026
Former President Barack Obama’s podcast remark that “aliens are real” (later clarified) amplified public interest and was cited as the trigger for Trump’s February directive
December 31 rises to 14%2%
Former President Barack Obama’s podcast remark that “aliens are real” (later clarified) amplified public interest and was cited as the trigger for Trump’s February directive
Feb 18 2026
Former President Donald Trump announces via Truth Social that he will direct the Secretary of War and other agencies to begin releasing government files related to aliens, UFOs,
December 31 jumps to 21%9%
Former President Donald Trump announces via Truth Social that he will direct the Secretary of War and other agencies to begin releasing government files related to aliens, UFOs, and extraterrestrial life, causing a sharp market jump
Dec 2 2025
Former President Barack Obama publicly states on a podcast that aliens are “real” in the sense that life likely exists elsewhere in the universe, sparking media frenzy and
December 31 rises to 12%3%
Former President Barack Obama publicly states on a podcast that aliens are “real” in the sense that life likely exists elsewhere in the universe, sparking media frenzy and increasing market confidence
Nov 27 2025
U.S. administration reportedly preparing a Trump‑era announcement that the president may confirm extraterrestrials after a briefing on “basic facts”
December 31 rises to 9%2%
U.S. administration reportedly preparing a Trump‑era announcement that the president may confirm extraterrestrials after a briefing on “basic facts”
Nov 27 2025
U.S. administration reportedly prepares a presidential announcement on extraterrestrials, fueling speculation that a formal disclosure could arrive soon
December 31 rises to 12%3%
U.S. administration reportedly prepares a presidential announcement on extraterrestrials, fueling speculation that a formal disclosure could arrive soon
Nov 27 2025
Reports emerge that the U.S. administration is preparing to announce and acknowledge extraterrestrial life, with speculation about President Trump receiving briefings on
December 31 rises to 10%3%
Reports emerge that the U.S. administration is preparing to announce and acknowledge extraterrestrial life, with speculation about President Trump receiving briefings on humanity’s place in the universe, fueling market optimism
Nov 13 2025
Scientists announce discovery of a nearby super‑Earth in the habitable zone, boosting hopes of finding alien life
December 31 rises to 9%2%
Scientists announce discovery of a nearby super‑Earth in the habitable zone, boosting hopes of finding alien life
Nov 13 2025
Discovery of a nearby super-Earth exoplanet in the habitable zone announced, raising hopes for finding alien life and increasing public interest in extraterrestrial possibilities
December 31 rises to 9%2%
Discovery of a nearby super-Earth exoplanet in the habitable zone announced, raising hopes for finding alien life and increasing public interest in extraterrestrial possibilities
May 20 2025
Ufology leader David Wilcock dies by suicide, a blow to the “Disclosure” movement and causing traders to pull back on “Yes” bets
December 31 dips to 10%2%
Ufology leader David Wilcock dies by suicide, a blow to the “Disclosure” movement and causing traders to pull back on “Yes” bets
Feb 14 2025
President Trump posts on Truth Social directing the Defense Secretary to begin releasing UFO and alien‑related files, prompting a surge in market odds
December 31 rises to 14%4%
President Trump posts on Truth Social directing the Defense Secretary to begin releasing UFO and alien‑related files, prompting a surge in market odds
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader sentiment on US government confirmation of alien existence remains cautious amid heightened speculation fueled by President Trump's February 2026 order for federal agencies to release files on extraterrestrial life, followed by his April statements teasing "interesting" documents and imminent disclosures. Congressional pushes, including Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's task force probing "nonhuman origin" claims and upcoming House hearings, alongside White House registrations of alien.gov domains, have amplified public buzz and cultural fervor around UAP disclosure. However, AARO's latest reports and NASA officials emphasize no evidence of intelligent extraterrestrial visitors, underscoring persistent skepticism despite whistleblower testimonies. Key catalysts ahead include potential file drops and hearings, though historical patterns of unfulfilled promises temper optimism in this high-uncertainty pop culture saga.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trader sentiment on US government confirmation of alien existence remains cautious amid heightened speculation fueled by President Trump's February 2026 order for federal agencies to release files on extraterrestrial life, followed by his April statements teasing "interesting" documents and imminent disclosures. Congressional pushes, including Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's task force probing "nonhuman origin" claims and upcoming House hearings, alongside White House registrations of alien.gov domains, have amplified public buzz and cultural fervor around UAP disclosure. However, AARO's latest reports and NASA officials emphasize no evidence of intelligent extraterrestrial visitors, underscoring persistent skepticism despite whistleblower testimonies. Key catalysts ahead include potential file drops and hearings, though historical patterns of unfulfilled promises temper optimism in this high-uncertainty pop culture saga.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Apr 28 2026
Ufologist David Wilcock’s widely reported death amid rumors of a delayed or canceled government announcement dampens disclosure hopes, slightly reducing market odds
December 31 dips to 19%2%
Ufologist David Wilcock’s widely reported death amid rumors of a delayed or canceled government announcement dampens disclosure hopes, slightly reducing market odds
Apr 27 2026
Operation Disclosure Official publishes an article emphasizing that official extraterrestrial disclosure is very close, referencing historical precedents and ongoing pressure on
June 30 rises to 8%1%
Operation Disclosure Official publishes an article emphasizing that official extraterrestrial disclosure is very close, referencing historical precedents and ongoing pressure on governments, which supports a modest
Apr 25 2026
AARO officials reiterated that no extraterrestrial evidence had been found in any UAP reports, tempering the earlier optimism and nudging the
December 31 dips to 20%1%
AARO officials reiterated that no extraterrestrial evidence had been found in any UAP reports, tempering the earlier optimism and nudging the
Apr 23 2026
Disclosure momentum accelerates with widespread discussion of whistleblower deaths and government cover-ups, including the suspicious death of researcher David Wilcock, fueling
June 30 rises to 9%1%
Disclosure momentum accelerates with widespread discussion of whistleblower deaths and government cover-ups, including the suspicious death of researcher David Wilcock, fueling speculation about imminent disclosure
Apr 22 2026
The Guardian reported the Pentagon’s release of previously classified UFO videos, reigniting trader optimism that the files might contain “interesting” evidence
December 31 rises to 21%4%
The Guardian reported the Pentagon’s release of previously classified UFO videos, reigniting trader optimism that the files might contain “interesting” evidence
Apr 22 2026
The Pentagon publicly releases UFO videos and reaffirms ongoing investigations into unidentified aerial phenomena, maintaining market interest in potential disclosure
December 31 rises to 21%1%
The Pentagon publicly releases UFO videos and reaffirms ongoing investigations into unidentified aerial phenomena, maintaining market interest in potential disclosure
Apr 22 2026
The Guardian publishes an investigative report on Pentagon UFO videos and ongoing government secrecy, highlighting the challenges in obtaining definitive proof and contributing to
June 30 rises to 8%3%
The Guardian publishes an investigative report on Pentagon UFO videos and ongoing government secrecy, highlighting the challenges in obtaining definitive proof and contributing to market uncertainty
Apr 21 2026
Pentagon misses April 14 deadline to release 46 videos of unidentified aerial phenomena, as noted by Rep.
June 30 dips to 5%1%
Anna Paulina Luna, causing a drop in confidence about imminent disclosure
Apr 20 2026
Former President Trump announces that the first releases of UFO files will be coming out very soon, signaling potential government disclosure and raising market optimism
June 30 dips to 6%4%
Former President Trump announces that the first releases of UFO files will be coming out very soon, signaling potential government disclosure and raising market optimism
Apr 15 2026
Renewed media coverage highlights ongoing congressional hearings and statements by former intelligence officers about secret Pentagon programs investigating UFOs, boosting market
December 31 rises to 20%4%
Renewed media coverage highlights ongoing congressional hearings and statements by former intelligence officers about secret Pentagon programs investigating UFOs, boosting market sentiment
Apr 12 2026
Reports emerge that the Pentagon’s AARO office found no extraterrestrial evidence in its latest review, tempering optimism but still leaving odds elevated as traders anticipate a
December 31 dips to 19%2%
Reports emerge that the Pentagon’s AARO office found no extraterrestrial evidence in its latest review, tempering optimism but still leaving odds elevated as traders anticipate a possible late‑April announcement
Mar 18 2026
White House quietly registers the “aliens.gov” domain after a Trump directive, igniting speculation of an imminent official confirmation and pushing odds to a new high
December 31 jumps to 21%7%
White House quietly registers the “aliens.gov” domain after a Trump directive, igniting speculation of an imminent official confirmation and pushing odds to a new high
Mar 1 2026
UFO‑researcher David Wilcock’s suicide, reported as a blow to the “Disclosure” movement that had been pushing for a June 30 confirmation, pulled odds down
December 31 dips to 11%3%
UFO‑researcher David Wilcock’s suicide, reported as a blow to the “Disclosure” movement that had been pushing for a June 30 confirmation, pulled odds down
Feb 21 2026
Following initial enthusiasm, skepticism grows as no new concrete evidence or official confirmation emerges from the government’s file releases, leading to a market pullback
December 31 drops to 15%6%
Following initial enthusiasm, skepticism grows as no new concrete evidence or official confirmation emerges from the government’s file releases, leading to a market pullback
Feb 20 2026
President Trump publicly directed the Defense Secretary and other agencies to begin releasing “alien and extraterrestrial” files, sparking a surge of speculation about imminent
December 31 rises to 12%2%
President Trump publicly directed the Defense Secretary and other agencies to begin releasing “alien and extraterrestrial” files, sparking a surge of speculation about imminent disclosure
Feb 20 2026
Former President Barack Obama’s podcast remark that “aliens are real” (later clarified) amplified public interest and was cited as the trigger for Trump’s February directive
December 31 rises to 14%2%
Former President Barack Obama’s podcast remark that “aliens are real” (later clarified) amplified public interest and was cited as the trigger for Trump’s February directive
Feb 18 2026
Former President Donald Trump announces via Truth Social that he will direct the Secretary of War and other agencies to begin releasing government files related to aliens, UFOs,
December 31 jumps to 21%9%
Former President Donald Trump announces via Truth Social that he will direct the Secretary of War and other agencies to begin releasing government files related to aliens, UFOs, and extraterrestrial life, causing a sharp market jump
Dec 2 2025
Former President Barack Obama publicly states on a podcast that aliens are “real” in the sense that life likely exists elsewhere in the universe, sparking media frenzy and
December 31 rises to 12%3%
Former President Barack Obama publicly states on a podcast that aliens are “real” in the sense that life likely exists elsewhere in the universe, sparking media frenzy and increasing market confidence
Nov 27 2025
U.S. administration reportedly preparing a Trump‑era announcement that the president may confirm extraterrestrials after a briefing on “basic facts”
December 31 rises to 9%2%
U.S. administration reportedly preparing a Trump‑era announcement that the president may confirm extraterrestrials after a briefing on “basic facts”
Nov 27 2025
U.S. administration reportedly prepares a presidential announcement on extraterrestrials, fueling speculation that a formal disclosure could arrive soon
December 31 rises to 12%3%
U.S. administration reportedly prepares a presidential announcement on extraterrestrials, fueling speculation that a formal disclosure could arrive soon
Nov 27 2025
Reports emerge that the U.S. administration is preparing to announce and acknowledge extraterrestrial life, with speculation about President Trump receiving briefings on
December 31 rises to 10%3%
Reports emerge that the U.S. administration is preparing to announce and acknowledge extraterrestrial life, with speculation about President Trump receiving briefings on humanity’s place in the universe, fueling market optimism
Nov 13 2025
Scientists announce discovery of a nearby super‑Earth in the habitable zone, boosting hopes of finding alien life
December 31 rises to 9%2%
Scientists announce discovery of a nearby super‑Earth in the habitable zone, boosting hopes of finding alien life
Nov 13 2025
Discovery of a nearby super-Earth exoplanet in the habitable zone announced, raising hopes for finding alien life and increasing public interest in extraterrestrial possibilities
December 31 rises to 9%2%
Discovery of a nearby super-Earth exoplanet in the habitable zone announced, raising hopes for finding alien life and increasing public interest in extraterrestrial possibilities
May 20 2025
Ufology leader David Wilcock dies by suicide, a blow to the “Disclosure” movement and causing traders to pull back on “Yes” bets
December 31 dips to 10%2%
Ufology leader David Wilcock dies by suicide, a blow to the “Disclosure” movement and causing traders to pull back on “Yes” bets
Feb 14 2025
President Trump posts on Truth Social directing the Defense Secretary to begin releasing UFO and alien‑related files, prompting a surge in market odds
December 31 rises to 14%4%
President Trump posts on Truth Social directing the Defense Secretary to begin releasing UFO and alien‑related files, prompting a surge in market odds
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes
"¿Confirmarán los EE. UU. que existen extraterrestres para...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de diciembre" con 19%, seguido de "30 de septiembre" con 13%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 19¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 19% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.
A día de hoy, "¿Confirmarán los EE. UU. que existen extraterrestres para...?" ha generado $31.8 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.
Para operar en "¿Confirmarán los EE. UU. que existen extraterrestres para...?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.
El favorito actual para "¿Confirmarán los EE. UU. que existen extraterrestres para...?" es "31 de diciembre" con 19%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 19% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "30 de septiembre" con 13%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.
Las reglas de resolución para "¿Confirmarán los EE. UU. que existen extraterrestres para...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.
Sí. No necesitas operar para mantenerte informado. Esta página sirve como rastreador en vivo para "¿Confirmarán los EE. UU. que existen extraterrestres para...?". Las probabilidades de los resultados se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que entran nuevas operaciones. Puedes guardar esta página en marcadores y consultar la sección de comentarios para ver lo que dicen otros operadores. También puedes usar los filtros de rango temporal en el gráfico para ver cómo han cambiado las probabilidades a lo largo del tiempo.
Las probabilidades de Polymarket son establecidas por operadores reales que ponen dinero real detrás de sus creencias, lo que tiende a generar predicciones precisas. Con $31.8 million operados en “¿Confirmarán los EE. UU. que existen extraterrestres para...?”, estos precios agregan el conocimiento colectivo y la convicción de miles de participantes — a menudo superando a encuestas, pronósticos de expertos y estudios tradicionales. Los mercados de predicción como Polymarket tienen un sólido historial de precisión, especialmente cuando los eventos se acercan a su fecha de resolución. Por ejemplo, Polymarket tiene una puntuación de precisión a un mes de 94%. Para las últimas estadísticas sobre la precisión de predicción de Polymarket, visita la página de precisión en Polymarket.
Para realizar tu primera operación en "¿Confirmarán los EE. UU. que existen extraterrestres para...?", regístrate en una cuenta gratuita de Polymarket y deposita fondos usando criptomonedas, tarjeta de crédito o débito, o transferencia bancaria. Una vez que tu cuenta tenga fondos, vuelve a esta página, selecciona el resultado en el que quieras operar, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si eres nuevo en los mercados de predicción, haz clic en el enlace "Cómo funciona" en la parte superior de cualquier página de Polymarket para una guía paso a paso.
En Polymarket, el precio de cada resultado representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Un precio de 19¢ para "31 de diciembre" en el mercado "¿Confirmarán los EE. UU. que existen extraterrestres para...?" significa que los operadores colectivamente creen que hay aproximadamente una probabilidad de 19% de que "31 de diciembre" sea el resultado correcto. Si compras acciones de "Sí" a 19¢ y el resultado es correcto, recibes $1,00 por acción, una ganancia de 81¢ por acción. Si es incorrecto, esas acciones valen $0.
El mercado "¿Confirmarán los EE. UU. que existen extraterrestres para...?" está programado para resolverse en o alrededor del Dec 31, 2026. Esto significa que el trading permanecerá abierto y las probabilidades seguirán cambiando hasta esa fecha. El momento exacto de resolución depende de cuándo esté disponible el resultado oficial, como se describe en la sección "Reglas".
El mercado "¿Confirmarán los EE. UU. que existen extraterrestres para...?" tiene una comunidad activa de 1,017 comentarios donde los operadores comparten sus análisis, debaten resultados y discuten los últimos desarrollos. Desplázate hacia abajo a la sección de comentarios para leer lo que piensan otros participantes. También puedes filtrar por "Principales poseedores" o consultar la pestaña "Actividad" para un feed en tiempo real de operaciones.
Polymarket es el mercado de predicción más grande del mundo, donde puedes mantenerte informado y beneficiarte de tu conocimiento sobre eventos del mundo real. Los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre resultados de temas que van desde política y elecciones hasta criptomonedas, finanzas, deportes, tecnología y cultura, incluyendo mercados como "¿Confirmarán los EE. UU. que existen extraterrestres para...?". Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real respaldadas por convicción financiera, ofreciendo a menudo señales más rápidas y precisas que las encuestas, los expertos o los estudios tradicionales.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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