Israel issued new maps on April 29 expanding restricted buffer zones and military control areas across nearly two-thirds of Gaza, affecting thousands of displaced Palestinians and signaling incremental entrenchment rather than a sudden major ground offensive. Satellite imagery from mid-April shows construction of permanent IDF bases in areas like Rafah and Gaza City, coinciding with escalated airstrikes that killed over 25 Palestinians last week amid ongoing post-ceasefire violations exceeding 800 deaths. Regional ceasefires in Iran and Lebanon may refocus pressure on Hamas disarmament and governance talks, while Israel's April 30 interception of the Global Sumud aid flotilla underscores naval blockade enforcement. Traders watch for diplomatic breakthroughs or May international force deployment that could alter escalation risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$523,511 Vol.
31 oct 2025
30 de junio
29%
31 de diciembre
54%
$523,511 Vol.
30 de junio
$25,339 Vol.
29%
31 de diciembre
$21,429 Vol.
54%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israel issued new maps on April 29 expanding restricted buffer zones and military control areas across nearly two-thirds of Gaza, affecting thousands of displaced Palestinians and signaling incremental entrenchment rather than a sudden major ground offensive. Satellite imagery from mid-April shows construction of permanent IDF bases in areas like Rafah and Gaza City, coinciding with escalated airstrikes that killed over 25 Palestinians last week amid ongoing post-ceasefire violations exceeding 800 deaths. Regional ceasefires in Iran and Lebanon may refocus pressure on Hamas disarmament and governance talks, while Israel's April 30 interception of the Global Sumud aid flotilla underscores naval blockade enforcement. Traders watch for diplomatic breakthroughs or May international force deployment that could alter escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
Volumen
$523,511Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2025Mercado abierto
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israel issued new maps on April 29 expanding restricted buffer zones and military control areas across nearly two-thirds of Gaza, affecting thousands of displaced Palestinians and signaling incremental entrenchment rather than a sudden major ground offensive. Satellite imagery from mid-April shows construction of permanent IDF bases in areas like Rafah and Gaza City, coinciding with escalated airstrikes that killed over 25 Palestinians last week amid ongoing post-ceasefire violations exceeding 800 deaths. Regional ceasefires in Iran and Lebanon may refocus pressure on Hamas disarmament and governance talks, while Israel's April 30 interception of the Global Sumud aid flotilla underscores naval blockade enforcement. Traders watch for diplomatic breakthroughs or May international force deployment that could alter escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$523,511Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2025Mercado abierto
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel issued new maps on April 29 expanding restricted buffer zones and military control areas across nearly two-thirds of Gaza, affecting thousands of displaced Palestinians and signaling incremental entrenchment rather than a sudden major ground offensive. Satellite imagery from mid-April shows construction of permanent IDF bases in areas like Rafah and Gaza City, coinciding with escalated airstrikes that killed over 25 Palestinians last week amid ongoing post-ceasefire violations exceeding 800 deaths. Regional ceasefires in Iran and Lebanon may refocus pressure on Hamas disarmament and governance talks, while Israel's April 30 interception of the Global Sumud aid flotilla underscores naval blockade enforcement. Traders watch for diplomatic breakthroughs or May international force deployment that could alter escalation risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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