Traders heavily favor a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $2 trillion (56% implied probability), driven by the company's confidential SEC filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a June roadshow with valuations reported between $1.75 trillion and over $2 trillion. This consensus reflects surging optimism from Starship's rapid iteration—Flight 12 preparations underway and V3 prototypes rolling out for orbital refueling demos—bolstering dominance in reusable heavy-lift rockets and Starlink's expanding satellite constellation, now eyeing 20,000 annual launches. Recent xAI merger rumors and secondary share pricing at $622 per share underscore trillion-scale growth potential, though regulatory scrutiny and launch delays remain key risks ahead of the listing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMás de 2,0 billones 57%
1,8T–2,0T 13%
1.6T–1.8T 11.9%
1.4T–1.6T 5.8%
$901,546 Vol.
$901,546 Vol.
31 dic 2027
No salida a bolsa antes de 2028
3%
<1,0T
5%
1.0T–1.2T
3%
1,2T–1,4T
4%
1.4T–1.6T
6%
1.6T–1.8T
12%
1,8T–2,0T
13%
Más de 2,0 billones
57%
Más de 2,0 billones 57%
1,8T–2,0T 13%
1.6T–1.8T 11.9%
1.4T–1.6T 5.8%
$901,546 Vol.
$901,546 Vol.
31 dic 2027
No salida a bolsa antes de 2028
$184,241 Vol.
3%
<1,0T
$72,435 Vol.
5%
1.0T–1.2T
$51,959 Vol.
3%
1,2T–1,4T
$68,511 Vol.
4%
1.4T–1.6T
$113,550 Vol.
6%
1.6T–1.8T
$116,344 Vol.
12%
1,8T–2,0T
$99,451 Vol.
13%
Más de 2,0 billones
$195,054 Vol.
57%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders heavily favor a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $2 trillion (56% implied probability), driven by the company's confidential SEC filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a June roadshow with valuations reported between $1.75 trillion and over $2 trillion. This consensus reflects surging optimism from Starship's rapid iteration—Flight 12 preparations underway and V3 prototypes rolling out for orbital refueling demos—bolstering dominance in reusable heavy-lift rockets and Starlink's expanding satellite constellation, now eyeing 20,000 annual launches. Recent xAI merger rumors and secondary share pricing at $622 per share underscore trillion-scale growth potential, though regulatory scrutiny and launch delays remain key risks ahead of the listing.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Volumen
$901,546Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders heavily favor a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $2 trillion (56% implied probability), driven by the company's confidential SEC filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a June roadshow with valuations reported between $1.75 trillion and over $2 trillion. This consensus reflects surging optimism from Starship's rapid iteration—Flight 12 preparations underway and V3 prototypes rolling out for orbital refueling demos—bolstering dominance in reusable heavy-lift rockets and Starlink's expanding satellite constellation, now eyeing 20,000 annual launches. Recent xAI merger rumors and secondary share pricing at $622 per share underscore trillion-scale growth potential, though regulatory scrutiny and launch delays remain key risks ahead of the listing.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$901,546Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders heavily favor a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $2 trillion (56% implied probability), driven by the company's confidential SEC filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a June roadshow with valuations reported between $1.75 trillion and over $2 trillion. This consensus reflects surging optimism from Starship's rapid iteration—Flight 12 preparations underway and V3 prototypes rolling out for orbital refueling demos—bolstering dominance in reusable heavy-lift rockets and Starlink's expanding satellite constellation, now eyeing 20,000 annual launches. Recent xAI merger rumors and secondary share pricing at $622 per share underscore trillion-scale growth potential, though regulatory scrutiny and launch delays remain key risks ahead of the listing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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