Jorginho Mello (PL), the incumbent governor of Santa Catarina since 2023, holds a commanding position in the October 2026 gubernatorial race due to consistent double-digit leads in multiple recent polls, including Veritá, Neokemp, and Futura Inteligência surveys showing 54–70% first-round support. His high approval ratings, rooted in economic performance, security policies, and alignment with the state's conservative electorate, have drawn endorsements from parties such as PSDB and broad coalitions. A fragmented opposition, with leading challengers like João Rodrigues (PSD) and Gelson Merísio trailing significantly, reinforces trader consensus. Late-breaking developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected opposition consolidation could still narrow the gap before election day, though current evidence shows limited momentum for such shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJorginho Mello 91%
Marcelo Brigadeiro 6%
Afrânio Boppré 2.9%
João Rodrigues 2.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
Jorginho Mello
91%
Marcelo Brigadeiro
6%
Afrânio Boppré
3%
João Rodrigues
3%
Gelson Merisio
1%
Décio Lima
1%
Adriano Silva
1%
Marcos Vieira
<1%
Jorginho Mello 91%
Marcelo Brigadeiro 6%
Afrânio Boppré 2.9%
João Rodrigues 2.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
Jorginho Mello
$4,931 Vol.
91%
Marcelo Brigadeiro
$1,051 Vol.
6%
Afrânio Boppré
$445 Vol.
3%
João Rodrigues
$365 Vol.
3%
Gelson Merisio
$542 Vol.
1%
Décio Lima
$511 Vol.
1%
Adriano Silva
$403 Vol.
1%
Marcos Vieira
$461 Vol.
<1%
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello (PL), the incumbent governor of Santa Catarina since 2023, holds a commanding position in the October 2026 gubernatorial race due to consistent double-digit leads in multiple recent polls, including Veritá, Neokemp, and Futura Inteligência surveys showing 54–70% first-round support. His high approval ratings, rooted in economic performance, security policies, and alignment with the state's conservative electorate, have drawn endorsements from parties such as PSDB and broad coalitions. A fragmented opposition, with leading challengers like João Rodrigues (PSD) and Gelson Merísio trailing significantly, reinforces trader consensus. Late-breaking developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected opposition consolidation could still narrow the gap before election day, though current evidence shows limited momentum for such shifts.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
Volumen
$8,708Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello (PL), the incumbent governor of Santa Catarina since 2023, holds a commanding position in the October 2026 gubernatorial race due to consistent double-digit leads in multiple recent polls, including Veritá, Neokemp, and Futura Inteligência surveys showing 54–70% first-round support. His high approval ratings, rooted in economic performance, security policies, and alignment with the state's conservative electorate, have drawn endorsements from parties such as PSDB and broad coalitions. A fragmented opposition, with leading challengers like João Rodrigues (PSD) and Gelson Merísio trailing significantly, reinforces trader consensus. Late-breaking developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected opposition consolidation could still narrow the gap before election day, though current evidence shows limited momentum for such shifts.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$8,708Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jorginho Mello (PL), the incumbent governor of Santa Catarina since 2023, holds a commanding position in the October 2026 gubernatorial race due to consistent double-digit leads in multiple recent polls, including Veritá, Neokemp, and Futura Inteligência surveys showing 54–70% first-round support. His high approval ratings, rooted in economic performance, security policies, and alignment with the state's conservative electorate, have drawn endorsements from parties such as PSDB and broad coalitions. A fragmented opposition, with leading challengers like João Rodrigues (PSD) and Gelson Merísio trailing significantly, reinforces trader consensus. Late-breaking developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected opposition consolidation could still narrow the gap before election day, though current evidence shows limited momentum for such shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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