President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva retains constitutional authority to submit a new STF minister nomination following the Senate’s April 29, 2026 rejection of Jorge Messias—the first such defeat for any Brazilian president in over 130 years. Lula has publicly stated he will not leave the vacancy open for his successor and is weighing candidates, including a woman, to broaden coalition support ahead of the October 2026 general election. Senate leaders, including President Davi Alcolumbre, have signaled limited appetite for scheduling confirmation votes in the current polarized environment, where opposition parties argue the seat should remain vacant until after the election. These institutional checks, combined with Lula’s term timeline and the vacancy’s effect on court composition, continue to shape the timing of any announcement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
31 dic 2026
30 de junio
22%
30 de septiembre
49%
31 de diciembre
81%
$9,853 Vol.
30 de junio
$6,508 Vol.
22%
30 de septiembre
$956 Vol.
49%
31 de diciembre
$2,388 Vol.
81%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) nominates an individual for Minister (Ministro) of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil (Supremo Tribunal Federal) by the listed date, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva retains constitutional authority to submit a new STF minister nomination following the Senate’s April 29, 2026 rejection of Jorge Messias—the first such defeat for any Brazilian president in over 130 years. Lula has publicly stated he will not leave the vacancy open for his successor and is weighing candidates, including a woman, to broaden coalition support ahead of the October 2026 general election. Senate leaders, including President Davi Alcolumbre, have signaled limited appetite for scheduling confirmation votes in the current polarized environment, where opposition parties argue the seat should remain vacant until after the election. These institutional checks, combined with Lula’s term timeline and the vacancy’s effect on court composition, continue to shape the timing of any announcement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) nominates an individual for Minister (Ministro) of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil (Supremo Tribunal Federal) by the listed date, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 2, 2026, 9:12 PM ET
Volumen
$9,853Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 9:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) nominates an individual for Minister (Ministro) of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil (Supremo Tribunal Federal) by the listed date, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva retains constitutional authority to submit a new STF minister nomination following the Senate’s April 29, 2026 rejection of Jorge Messias—the first such defeat for any Brazilian president in over 130 years. Lula has publicly stated he will not leave the vacancy open for his successor and is weighing candidates, including a woman, to broaden coalition support ahead of the October 2026 general election. Senate leaders, including President Davi Alcolumbre, have signaled limited appetite for scheduling confirmation votes in the current polarized environment, where opposition parties argue the seat should remain vacant until after the election. These institutional checks, combined with Lula’s term timeline and the vacancy’s effect on court composition, continue to shape the timing of any announcement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) nominates an individual for Minister (Ministro) of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil (Supremo Tribunal Federal) by the listed date, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$9,853Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 9:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva retains constitutional authority to submit a new STF minister nomination following the Senate’s April 29, 2026 rejection of Jorge Messias—the first such defeat for any Brazilian president in over 130 years. Lula has publicly stated he will not leave the vacancy open for his successor and is weighing candidates, including a woman, to broaden coalition support ahead of the October 2026 general election. Senate leaders, including President Davi Alcolumbre, have signaled limited appetite for scheduling confirmation votes in the current polarized environment, where opposition parties argue the seat should remain vacant until after the election. These institutional checks, combined with Lula’s term timeline and the vacancy’s effect on court composition, continue to shape the timing of any announcement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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