Incumbent Jorginho Mello (PL) maintains a dominant position in the October 2026 Santa Catarina gubernatorial race, backed by consistent double-digit to landslide leads in recent first-round polling from firms such as Verità, Neokemp, and Futura Inteligência. His approval stems from state economic performance and public security measures since the 2022 victory, reinforced by eligibility for reelection and alignment with conservative voter priorities in one of Brazil's most right-leaning states. A fragmented opposition, with candidates like João Rodrigues (PSD) and Gelson Merísio (PSB) polling in the mid-teens or lower, further consolidates trader consensus around his path to a first-round or runoff win. Late developments including major scandals, health events, or significant coalition realignments could still shift probabilities before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJorginho Mello 91%
Marcelo Brigadeiro 6%
Afrânio Boppré 2.9%
João Rodrigues 2.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
Jorginho Mello
91%
Marcelo Brigadeiro
6%
Afrânio Boppré
3%
João Rodrigues
3%
Gelson Merisio
1%
Décio Lima
1%
Adriano Silva
1%
Marcos Vieira
<1%
Jorginho Mello 91%
Marcelo Brigadeiro 6%
Afrânio Boppré 2.9%
João Rodrigues 2.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
Jorginho Mello
$4,931 Vol.
91%
Marcelo Brigadeiro
$1,051 Vol.
6%
Afrânio Boppré
$445 Vol.
3%
João Rodrigues
$365 Vol.
3%
Gelson Merisio
$542 Vol.
1%
Décio Lima
$511 Vol.
1%
Adriano Silva
$403 Vol.
1%
Marcos Vieira
$461 Vol.
<1%
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Jorginho Mello (PL) maintains a dominant position in the October 2026 Santa Catarina gubernatorial race, backed by consistent double-digit to landslide leads in recent first-round polling from firms such as Verità, Neokemp, and Futura Inteligência. His approval stems from state economic performance and public security measures since the 2022 victory, reinforced by eligibility for reelection and alignment with conservative voter priorities in one of Brazil's most right-leaning states. A fragmented opposition, with candidates like João Rodrigues (PSD) and Gelson Merísio (PSB) polling in the mid-teens or lower, further consolidates trader consensus around his path to a first-round or runoff win. Late developments including major scandals, health events, or significant coalition realignments could still shift probabilities before election day.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
Volumen
$8,708Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Jorginho Mello (PL) maintains a dominant position in the October 2026 Santa Catarina gubernatorial race, backed by consistent double-digit to landslide leads in recent first-round polling from firms such as Verità, Neokemp, and Futura Inteligência. His approval stems from state economic performance and public security measures since the 2022 victory, reinforced by eligibility for reelection and alignment with conservative voter priorities in one of Brazil's most right-leaning states. A fragmented opposition, with candidates like João Rodrigues (PSD) and Gelson Merísio (PSB) polling in the mid-teens or lower, further consolidates trader consensus around his path to a first-round or runoff win. Late developments including major scandals, health events, or significant coalition realignments could still shift probabilities before election day.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$8,708Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Jorginho Mello (PL) maintains a dominant position in the October 2026 Santa Catarina gubernatorial race, backed by consistent double-digit to landslide leads in recent first-round polling from firms such as Verità, Neokemp, and Futura Inteligência. His approval stems from state economic performance and public security measures since the 2022 victory, reinforced by eligibility for reelection and alignment with conservative voter priorities in one of Brazil's most right-leaning states. A fragmented opposition, with candidates like João Rodrigues (PSD) and Gelson Merísio (PSB) polling in the mid-teens or lower, further consolidates trader consensus around his path to a first-round or runoff win. Late developments including major scandals, health events, or significant coalition realignments could still shift probabilities before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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