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Elecciones·Brasil

Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Río de Janeiro

icon for Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Río de Janeiro
Elecciones·Brasil

Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Río de Janeiro

Wilson Witzel 45.3%

Lindbergh Farias 22.4%

Fred Pacheco 12.5%

Nicola Miccione 12%

Polymarket

$10,435 Vol.

Wilson Witzel 45.3%

Lindbergh Farias 22.4%

Fred Pacheco 12.5%

Nicola Miccione 12%

Polymarket

$10,435 Vol.

Wilson Witzel

$296 Vol.

24%

Lindbergh Farias

$175 Vol.

22%

Fred Pacheco

$284 Vol.

18%

Nicola Miccione

$921 Vol.

12%

Felipe Curi

$1,574 Vol.

11%

André Português

$196 Vol.

10%

Eduardo Pazuello

$62 Vol.

27%

Anthony Garotinho

$1,104 Vol.

7%

Tarcísio Motta

$196 Vol.

21%

André Ceciliano

$2,656 Vol.

5%

Dr. Luizinho

$2,026 Vol.

2%

Chico Machado

$946 Vol.

2%

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes maintains a polling lead in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race, yet the market prices reflect a fragmented field of declared and potential candidates ahead of the October 4 first round. Term limits on the incumbent, party realignments across PSD, PL, PT, and smaller groupings, and voter priorities on security, fiscal management, and urban infrastructure keep multiple paths open. Low trading volumes on individual names signal uncertainty over endorsements, coalition formation, and turnout in key municipalities. Developments that could shift probabilities include formal party nominations in coming months, high-profile alliances or withdrawals, updated statewide surveys showing consolidation, or campaign events highlighting records on public safety and economic recovery.

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$10,435
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes maintains a polling lead in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race, yet the market prices reflect a fragmented field of declared and potential candidates ahead of the October 4 first round. Term limits on the incumbent, party realignments across PSD, PL, PT, and smaller groupings, and voter priorities on security, fiscal management, and urban infrastructure keep multiple paths open. Low trading volumes on individual names signal uncertainty over endorsements, coalition formation, and turnout in key municipalities. Developments that could shift probabilities include formal party nominations in coming months, high-profile alliances or withdrawals, updated statewide surveys showing consolidation, or campaign events highlighting records on public safety and economic recovery.

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$10,435
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Río de Janeiro" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 12 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Eduardo Pazuello" con 27%, seguido de "Wilson Witzel" con 24%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 27¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Río de Janeiro" ha generado $10.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 10, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Río de Janeiro", explora los 12 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Río de Janeiro" es "Eduardo Pazuello" con 27%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Wilson Witzel" con 24%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Río de Janeiro" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.