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Mundo·Tarifas Globales

¿Decisión del Banco de la Reserva de Australia en mayo?

icon for ¿Decisión del Banco de la Reserva de Australia en mayo?
Mundo·Tarifas Globales

¿Decisión del Banco de la Reserva de Australia en mayo?

may 5

jun 16

may 5

jun 16

Aumentar 93%

Sin cambios 9.1%

Disminución <1%

Polymarket

$62,471 Vol.

Aumentar 93%

Sin cambios 9.1%

Disminución <1%

Polymarket

$62,471 Vol.

Disminución

$14,528 Vol.

<1%

Sin cambios

$17,327 Vol.

9%

Aumentar

$30,616 Vol.

93%

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s May meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its May 5, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their May 5, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 92.5% implied probability of a Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cash rate increase at the May 5, 2026 meeting, reflecting strong consensus driven by March quarter CPI surging to 4.6% year-on-year—the highest since September 2023—fueled by a 32.8% fuel price spike and 6.5% housing inflation, with trimmed mean measures remaining sticky above target. This follows consecutive 25 basis point hikes to the current 4.10% target in February and March, amid a tight labor market holding unemployment at 4.3%. The positioning underscores trader bets on renewed monetary tightening to combat reaccelerating inflation from oil shocks. Realistic challenges include softer underlying inflation details or unexpectedly weak April employment data ahead of the decision, though recent momentum favors the hike.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s May meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its May 5, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their May 5, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Volumen
$62,471
Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 3, 2026, 10:32 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s May meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its May 5, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their May 5, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s May meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its May 5, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their May 5, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 92.5% implied probability of a Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cash rate increase at the May 5, 2026 meeting, reflecting strong consensus driven by March quarter CPI surging to 4.6% year-on-year—the highest since September 2023—fueled by a 32.8% fuel price spike and 6.5% housing inflation, with trimmed mean measures remaining sticky above target. This follows consecutive 25 basis point hikes to the current 4.10% target in February and March, amid a tight labor market holding unemployment at 4.3%. The positioning underscores trader bets on renewed monetary tightening to combat reaccelerating inflation from oil shocks. Realistic challenges include softer underlying inflation details or unexpectedly weak April employment data ahead of the decision, though recent momentum favors the hike.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s May meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its May 5, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their May 5, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Volumen
$62,471
Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 3, 2026, 10:32 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s May meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its May 5, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their May 5, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Decisión del Banco de la Reserva de Australia en mayo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Aumentar" con 93%, seguido de "Sin cambios" con 9%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 93¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 93% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Decisión del Banco de la Reserva de Australia en mayo?" ha generado $62.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 3, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Decisión del Banco de la Reserva de Australia en mayo?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Decisión del Banco de la Reserva de Australia en mayo?" es "Aumentar" con 93%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 93% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Sin cambios" con 9%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Decisión del Banco de la Reserva de Australia en mayo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.