The UK Met Office's latest forecast update, issued this morning, pins London's minimum nighttime temperature at 9°C for May 9, driving trader consensus to a 99.5% implied probability on this outcome as real-money bets align with official guidance from monitoring sites like Heathrow. Stable high-pressure systems and light southerly winds are fostering radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, consistent with recent model consensus from the Met Office and ECMWF ensembles showing no significant deviations. This matches climatological May norms for the region, where overnight lows typically hover 8–10°C amid dry conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected persistent cloud cover trapping heat to push above 9°C, or clearer skies enhancing cooling to 8°C; final observations will resolve via verified airport data by early May 10.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 9 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 9 de mayo?
9°C 99.5%
8°C <1%
7°C <1%
6°C <1%
$36,991 Vol.
$36,991 Vol.
4°C o menos
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
100%
9°C 99.5%
8°C <1%
7°C <1%
6°C <1%
$36,991 Vol.
$36,991 Vol.
4°C o menos
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 7, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The UK Met Office's latest forecast update, issued this morning, pins London's minimum nighttime temperature at 9°C for May 9, driving trader consensus to a 99.5% implied probability on this outcome as real-money bets align with official guidance from monitoring sites like Heathrow. Stable high-pressure systems and light southerly winds are fostering radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, consistent with recent model consensus from the Met Office and ECMWF ensembles showing no significant deviations. This matches climatological May norms for the region, where overnight lows typically hover 8–10°C amid dry conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected persistent cloud cover trapping heat to push above 9°C, or clearer skies enhancing cooling to 8°C; final observations will resolve via verified airport data by early May 10.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes