Japan Meteorological Agency observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station confirm a midday peak of 23°C on May 9, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome amid real-money wagers totaling over $50,000. Morning readings near 22°C stalled under partly cloudy skies and strengthening sea breeze from Tokyo Bay, which capped daytime warming and prompted midday forecast revisions downward from an initial 24°C projection. This matches early May climatology's 23.1°C average daily high, with light southerly winds and urban heat island effects aligning model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. Scenarios challenging this—such as abrupt clearing for a late-afternoon surge—remain improbable given low post-17:00 JST solar angles and the diurnal temperature cycle's typical decline. Final Wunderground data from Haneda will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 9?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 9?
23°C 100.0%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
26°C or higher <1%
$102,550 Vol.
$102,550 Vol.
9 may 2026
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
23°C 100.0%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
26°C or higher <1%
$102,550 Vol.
$102,550 Vol.
9 may 2026
23°C
$17,699 Vol.
100%
24°C
$14,273 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$12,771 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$10,614 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station confirm a midday peak of 23°C on May 9, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome amid real-money wagers totaling over $50,000. Morning readings near 22°C stalled under partly cloudy skies and strengthening sea breeze from Tokyo Bay, which capped daytime warming and prompted midday forecast revisions downward from an initial 24°C projection. This matches early May climatology's 23.1°C average daily high, with light southerly winds and urban heat island effects aligning model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. Scenarios challenging this—such as abrupt clearing for a late-afternoon surge—remain improbable given low post-17:00 JST solar angles and the diurnal temperature cycle's typical decline. Final Wunderground data from Haneda will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 7, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volumen
$102,550Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station confirm a midday peak of 23°C on May 9, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome amid real-money wagers totaling over $50,000. Morning readings near 22°C stalled under partly cloudy skies and strengthening sea breeze from Tokyo Bay, which capped daytime warming and prompted midday forecast revisions downward from an initial 24°C projection. This matches early May climatology's 23.1°C average daily high, with light southerly winds and urban heat island effects aligning model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. Scenarios challenging this—such as abrupt clearing for a late-afternoon surge—remain improbable given low post-17:00 JST solar angles and the diurnal temperature cycle's typical decline. Final Wunderground data from Haneda will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$102,550Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station confirm a midday peak of 23°C on May 9, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome amid real-money wagers totaling over $50,000. Morning readings near 22°C stalled under partly cloudy skies and strengthening sea breeze from Tokyo Bay, which capped daytime warming and prompted midday forecast revisions downward from an initial 24°C projection. This matches early May climatology's 23.1°C average daily high, with light southerly winds and urban heat island effects aligning model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. Scenarios challenging this—such as abrupt clearing for a late-afternoon surge—remain improbable given low post-17:00 JST solar angles and the diurnal temperature cycle's typical decline. Final Wunderground data from Haneda will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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