Météo-France's latest forecast for Paris on May 9 confirms a midday high of 24°C at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, the market's official resolution source, driving the 99.4% implied probability for this outcome amid stable ECMWF and GFS ensemble predictions centering on 22–25°C. Partial cloud cover with increasing clear spells, light easterly winds at 15 km/h, and current readings approaching 24°C align with this peak around 14:00, roughly +3°C above the May climatological average of 19–20°C. Trader consensus reflects high confidence in model agreement over the past 24 hours, though realistic challenges include prolonged cloudiness capping temperatures below 24°C or unexpected solar heating pushing toward 25°C; monitor real-time hourly observations for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on May 9?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 9?
24°C 98.4%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
$108,870 Vol.
$108,870 Vol.
9 may 2026
24°C
98%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 98.4%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
$108,870 Vol.
$108,870 Vol.
9 may 2026
24°C
$14,602 Vol.
98%
25°C
$14,615 Vol.
1%
26°C
$10,533 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5,241 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$5,272 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Météo-France's latest forecast for Paris on May 9 confirms a midday high of 24°C at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, the market's official resolution source, driving the 99.4% implied probability for this outcome amid stable ECMWF and GFS ensemble predictions centering on 22–25°C. Partial cloud cover with increasing clear spells, light easterly winds at 15 km/h, and current readings approaching 24°C align with this peak around 14:00, roughly +3°C above the May climatological average of 19–20°C. Trader consensus reflects high confidence in model agreement over the past 24 hours, though realistic challenges include prolonged cloudiness capping temperatures below 24°C or unexpected solar heating pushing toward 25°C; monitor real-time hourly observations for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 7, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$108,870Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Météo-France's latest forecast for Paris on May 9 confirms a midday high of 24°C at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, the market's official resolution source, driving the 99.4% implied probability for this outcome amid stable ECMWF and GFS ensemble predictions centering on 22–25°C. Partial cloud cover with increasing clear spells, light easterly winds at 15 km/h, and current readings approaching 24°C align with this peak around 14:00, roughly +3°C above the May climatological average of 19–20°C. Trader consensus reflects high confidence in model agreement over the past 24 hours, though realistic challenges include prolonged cloudiness capping temperatures below 24°C or unexpected solar heating pushing toward 25°C; monitor real-time hourly observations for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$108,870Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Météo-France's latest forecast for Paris on May 9 confirms a midday high of 24°C at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, the market's official resolution source, driving the 99.4% implied probability for this outcome amid stable ECMWF and GFS ensemble predictions centering on 22–25°C. Partial cloud cover with increasing clear spells, light easterly winds at 15 km/h, and current readings approaching 24°C align with this peak around 14:00, roughly +3°C above the May climatological average of 19–20°C. Trader consensus reflects high confidence in model agreement over the past 24 hours, though realistic challenges include prolonged cloudiness capping temperatures below 24°C or unexpected solar heating pushing toward 25°C; monitor real-time hourly observations for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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