Latest National Weather Service forecast models project a high temperature near 91°F in Austin on May 10, reflecting strong model consensus from the ECMWF and GFS ensembles amid an upper-level ridge promoting sunny skies and warm advection from the south. This drives the overwhelming trader consensus (99.7% implied probability) for 74°F or higher, well above the early May climatological average of 86°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, where official observations resolve the market. Current soundings indicate stable boundary layer conditions with minimal convective interference until late afternoon. Realistic challenges include an unexpected reinforcement of cooler mid-level air or persistent cloud cover from isolated thunderstorms, though guidance shows low confidence in such disruptions; monitor NWS updates through midday May 10 for refinements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 10 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 10 de mayo?
74°F o más 99.7%
72-73°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
NUEVO
$125,222 Vol.
NUEVO
$125,222 Vol.
10 may 2026
55°F o menos
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61 °F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F o más
100%
74°F o más 99.7%
72-73°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
NUEVO
$125,222 Vol.
NUEVO
$125,222 Vol.
10 may 2026
55°F o menos
$12,871 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$9,744 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$9,390 Vol.
<1%
60-61 °F
$4,425 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$9,664 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$7,824 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$9,699 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$11,511 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$12,272 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$12,495 Vol.
<1%
74°F o más
$25,328 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecast models project a high temperature near 91°F in Austin on May 10, reflecting strong model consensus from the ECMWF and GFS ensembles amid an upper-level ridge promoting sunny skies and warm advection from the south. This drives the overwhelming trader consensus (99.7% implied probability) for 74°F or higher, well above the early May climatological average of 86°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, where official observations resolve the market. Current soundings indicate stable boundary layer conditions with minimal convective interference until late afternoon. Realistic challenges include an unexpected reinforcement of cooler mid-level air or persistent cloud cover from isolated thunderstorms, though guidance shows low confidence in such disruptions; monitor NWS updates through midday May 10 for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$125,222Fecha de finalización
10 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecast models project a high temperature near 91°F in Austin on May 10, reflecting strong model consensus from the ECMWF and GFS ensembles amid an upper-level ridge promoting sunny skies and warm advection from the south. This drives the overwhelming trader consensus (99.7% implied probability) for 74°F or higher, well above the early May climatological average of 86°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, where official observations resolve the market. Current soundings indicate stable boundary layer conditions with minimal convective interference until late afternoon. Realistic challenges include an unexpected reinforcement of cooler mid-level air or persistent cloud cover from isolated thunderstorms, though guidance shows low confidence in such disruptions; monitor NWS updates through midday May 10 for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$125,222Fecha de finalización
10 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecast models project a high temperature near 91°F in Austin on May 10, reflecting strong model consensus from the ECMWF and GFS ensembles amid an upper-level ridge promoting sunny skies and warm advection from the south. This drives the overwhelming trader consensus (99.7% implied probability) for 74°F or higher, well above the early May climatological average of 86°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, where official observations resolve the market. Current soundings indicate stable boundary layer conditions with minimal convective interference until late afternoon. Realistic challenges include an unexpected reinforcement of cooler mid-level air or persistent cloud cover from isolated thunderstorms, though guidance shows low confidence in such disruptions; monitor NWS updates through midday May 10 for refinements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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