Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) nowcasts for Munich Airport station project a late-afternoon peak of 21-22°C today amid partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds around 10 km/h, and diurnal heating from morning lows near 8°C—current midday readings at 18°C align precisely with this trajectory, cementing trader consensus at 99.2% implied probability for 22°C. Ensemble models like ECMWF show tight clustering around this value, reflecting stable high-pressure ridging over Central Europe suppressing cooler Atlantic influences typical for early May, when historical highs average 18°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or thickening clouds capping temperatures at 21°C, though low rain probabilities (under 20%) and minimal model spread make upside to 23°C equally unlikely; final observations will resolve post-sunset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 9 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 9 de mayo?
22°C 99.4%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C o más <1%
$112,273 Vol.
$112,273 Vol.
22°C
99%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C o más
<1%
22°C 99.4%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C o más <1%
$112,273 Vol.
$112,273 Vol.
22°C
99%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 7, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) nowcasts for Munich Airport station project a late-afternoon peak of 21-22°C today amid partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds around 10 km/h, and diurnal heating from morning lows near 8°C—current midday readings at 18°C align precisely with this trajectory, cementing trader consensus at 99.2% implied probability for 22°C. Ensemble models like ECMWF show tight clustering around this value, reflecting stable high-pressure ridging over Central Europe suppressing cooler Atlantic influences typical for early May, when historical highs average 18°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or thickening clouds capping temperatures at 21°C, though low rain probabilities (under 20%) and minimal model spread make upside to 23°C equally unlikely; final observations will resolve post-sunset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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