Trader consensus assigns a 99.2% implied probability to 24°C as Istanbul's highest temperature today, driven by hourly observational data from NOAA at Istanbul Airport (LTFM)—the market's official resolution source—showing a midday peak of 24°C under partly cloudy skies and moderating southerly winds. This aligns with recent forecast model runs from ECMWF and GFS, which converged on this outcome amid a mild high-pressure ridge typical for early May, when historical averages hover around 21–22°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting solar heating to 25°C, though low-altitude clouds and sea-breeze fronts limit upside potential. Final NOAA readings expected by midnight will lock in resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 9 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 9 de mayo?
24°C 99.8%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C o más <1%
$87,785 Vol.
$87,785 Vol.
9 may 2026
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C o más
<1%
24°C 99.8%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C o más <1%
$87,785 Vol.
$87,785 Vol.
9 may 2026
24°C
$11,248 Vol.
100%
25°C
$9,578 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$8,886 Vol.
<1%
27°C o más
$7,366 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 99.2% implied probability to 24°C as Istanbul's highest temperature today, driven by hourly observational data from NOAA at Istanbul Airport (LTFM)—the market's official resolution source—showing a midday peak of 24°C under partly cloudy skies and moderating southerly winds. This aligns with recent forecast model runs from ECMWF and GFS, which converged on this outcome amid a mild high-pressure ridge typical for early May, when historical averages hover around 21–22°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting solar heating to 25°C, though low-altitude clouds and sea-breeze fronts limit upside potential. Final NOAA readings expected by midnight will lock in resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$87,785Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 99.2% implied probability to 24°C as Istanbul's highest temperature today, driven by hourly observational data from NOAA at Istanbul Airport (LTFM)—the market's official resolution source—showing a midday peak of 24°C under partly cloudy skies and moderating southerly winds. This aligns with recent forecast model runs from ECMWF and GFS, which converged on this outcome amid a mild high-pressure ridge typical for early May, when historical averages hover around 21–22°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting solar heating to 25°C, though low-altitude clouds and sea-breeze fronts limit upside potential. Final NOAA readings expected by midnight will lock in resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$87,785Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns a 99.2% implied probability to 24°C as Istanbul's highest temperature today, driven by hourly observational data from NOAA at Istanbul Airport (LTFM)—the market's official resolution source—showing a midday peak of 24°C under partly cloudy skies and moderating southerly winds. This aligns with recent forecast model runs from ECMWF and GFS, which converged on this outcome amid a mild high-pressure ridge typical for early May, when historical averages hover around 21–22°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting solar heating to 25°C, though low-altitude clouds and sea-breeze fronts limit upside potential. Final NOAA readings expected by midnight will lock in resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes