Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 26°C in Wuhan on May 9, driven by real-time METAR observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport and China Meteorological Administration data confirming a daytime peak of 26°C. Partly cloudy skies with 37–57% cloud cover, 57% relative humidity, and light southwest winds of 9–13 km/h suppressed solar insolation and convective heating after morning mist cleared, aligning precisely with GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts centering on 25–26°C amid May climatological norms of ~26°C daytime highs. Resolution hinges on finalized Wunderground records for the airport station to the nearest whole degree Celsius; a rare late-afternoon clearing or urban heat revision could nudge it to 27°C, though current data renders this improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 9?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 9?
26°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$72,964 Vol.
$72,964 Vol.
9 may 2026
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$72,964 Vol.
$72,964 Vol.
9 may 2026
26°C
$4,751 Vol.
100%
27°C
$4,853 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$8,351 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$11,011 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$5,781 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 26°C in Wuhan on May 9, driven by real-time METAR observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport and China Meteorological Administration data confirming a daytime peak of 26°C. Partly cloudy skies with 37–57% cloud cover, 57% relative humidity, and light southwest winds of 9–13 km/h suppressed solar insolation and convective heating after morning mist cleared, aligning precisely with GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts centering on 25–26°C amid May climatological norms of ~26°C daytime highs. Resolution hinges on finalized Wunderground records for the airport station to the nearest whole degree Celsius; a rare late-afternoon clearing or urban heat revision could nudge it to 27°C, though current data renders this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$72,964Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 26°C in Wuhan on May 9, driven by real-time METAR observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport and China Meteorological Administration data confirming a daytime peak of 26°C. Partly cloudy skies with 37–57% cloud cover, 57% relative humidity, and light southwest winds of 9–13 km/h suppressed solar insolation and convective heating after morning mist cleared, aligning precisely with GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts centering on 25–26°C amid May climatological norms of ~26°C daytime highs. Resolution hinges on finalized Wunderground records for the airport station to the nearest whole degree Celsius; a rare late-afternoon clearing or urban heat revision could nudge it to 27°C, though current data renders this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$72,964Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 26°C in Wuhan on May 9, driven by real-time METAR observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport and China Meteorological Administration data confirming a daytime peak of 26°C. Partly cloudy skies with 37–57% cloud cover, 57% relative humidity, and light southwest winds of 9–13 km/h suppressed solar insolation and convective heating after morning mist cleared, aligning precisely with GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts centering on 25–26°C amid May climatological norms of ~26°C daytime highs. Resolution hinges on finalized Wunderground records for the airport station to the nearest whole degree Celsius; a rare late-afternoon clearing or urban heat revision could nudge it to 27°C, though current data renders this improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes