The latest forecast from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) projects a maximum temperature of 18°C for Madrid on May 9, 2026, under overcast skies with moderate showers and occasional thunderstorms, particularly in the Sierra—conditions stemming from a low-pressure system over Iberia that has suppressed highs well below the typical May average of 22°C. Trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for exactly 17°C reflects ensemble model precision and hourly guidance showing afternoon peaks around 17°C amid persistent light rain (60-80% probability) and cloud cover limiting solar heating. Realistic challenges include brief clearing allowing a push to 18°C or heavier precipitation capping it at 16°C; monitor AEMET's next update and end-of-day observations at Retiro or Barajas stations for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Madrid on May 9?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 9?
17°C 98.5%
18°C 1.4%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
$177,390 Vol.
$177,390 Vol.
9 may 2026
16°C
<1%
17°C
99%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
17°C 98.5%
18°C 1.4%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
$177,390 Vol.
$177,390 Vol.
9 may 2026
16°C
$35,045 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$18,972 Vol.
99%
18°C
$15,447 Vol.
1%
19°C
$18,721 Vol.
1%
20°C
$20,983 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$17,798 Vol.
1%
22°C
$10,652 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$7,203 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$4,916 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest forecast from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) projects a maximum temperature of 18°C for Madrid on May 9, 2026, under overcast skies with moderate showers and occasional thunderstorms, particularly in the Sierra—conditions stemming from a low-pressure system over Iberia that has suppressed highs well below the typical May average of 22°C. Trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for exactly 17°C reflects ensemble model precision and hourly guidance showing afternoon peaks around 17°C amid persistent light rain (60-80% probability) and cloud cover limiting solar heating. Realistic challenges include brief clearing allowing a push to 18°C or heavier precipitation capping it at 16°C; monitor AEMET's next update and end-of-day observations at Retiro or Barajas stations for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$177,390Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest forecast from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) projects a maximum temperature of 18°C for Madrid on May 9, 2026, under overcast skies with moderate showers and occasional thunderstorms, particularly in the Sierra—conditions stemming from a low-pressure system over Iberia that has suppressed highs well below the typical May average of 22°C. Trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for exactly 17°C reflects ensemble model precision and hourly guidance showing afternoon peaks around 17°C amid persistent light rain (60-80% probability) and cloud cover limiting solar heating. Realistic challenges include brief clearing allowing a push to 18°C or heavier precipitation capping it at 16°C; monitor AEMET's next update and end-of-day observations at Retiro or Barajas stations for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$177,390Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The latest forecast from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) projects a maximum temperature of 18°C for Madrid on May 9, 2026, under overcast skies with moderate showers and occasional thunderstorms, particularly in the Sierra—conditions stemming from a low-pressure system over Iberia that has suppressed highs well below the typical May average of 22°C. Trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for exactly 17°C reflects ensemble model precision and hourly guidance showing afternoon peaks around 17°C amid persistent light rain (60-80% probability) and cloud cover limiting solar heating. Realistic challenges include brief clearing allowing a push to 18°C or heavier precipitation capping it at 16°C; monitor AEMET's next update and end-of-day observations at Retiro or Barajas stations for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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