Hong Kong Observatory observations as of 8:20 p.m. HKT on May 9 show the highest air temperature since local midnight reached 26.1°C at the Observatory station and 25.0°C at King's Park—the official climate reference—with peaks up to 26.8°C at outlying stations like Yuen Long Park, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for 26°C as the daily maximum. Cooling easterly winds, cloud cover from a Guangdong trough, and low solar radiation have since dropped readings to 23-24°C, aligning with forecast models projecting no further warming tonight amid mainly cloudy skies. Realistic challenges would require improbable late-evening clearing for renewed solar heating, but current trajectories and historical May diurnal patterns support resolution at 26°C; final HKO daily summary expected tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 9?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 9?
26°C 99.7%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
27°C or higher <1%
$560,380 Vol.
$560,380 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.7%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
27°C or higher <1%
$560,380 Vol.
$560,380 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory observations as of 8:20 p.m. HKT on May 9 show the highest air temperature since local midnight reached 26.1°C at the Observatory station and 25.0°C at King's Park—the official climate reference—with peaks up to 26.8°C at outlying stations like Yuen Long Park, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for 26°C as the daily maximum. Cooling easterly winds, cloud cover from a Guangdong trough, and low solar radiation have since dropped readings to 23-24°C, aligning with forecast models projecting no further warming tonight amid mainly cloudy skies. Realistic challenges would require improbable late-evening clearing for renewed solar heating, but current trajectories and historical May diurnal patterns support resolution at 26°C; final HKO daily summary expected tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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