Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast model ensembles from the Met Office and ECMWF, projecting London's Heathrow minimum temperature on May 10 within a 7–12°C range amid changeable conditions from lingering low pressure and northerly winds over the past 48 hours. Recent developments, including yesterday's cooler-than-average readings and potential for partial clearing overnight, have elevated implied probabilities for 7°C and 8°C (both 21.5%) by favoring radiative cooling, while persistent cloud cover or urban heat island effects support 12°C or higher at 25.5%. Key differentiators include exact timing of any frontal clearing and wind speeds above 10 mph, which could prevent deeper cools; watch for 12Z model updates tomorrow for shifts ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 10 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 10 de mayo?
8°C 36%
9°C 33%
7°C 15%
5°C 3.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 may 2026
2°C o menos
1%
3°C
1%
4°C
2%
5°C
4%
6°C
3%
7°C
9%
8°C
42%
9°C
37%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C o más
<1%
8°C 36%
9°C 33%
7°C 15%
5°C 3.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 may 2026
2°C o menos
$3,258 Vol.
1%
3°C
$606 Vol.
1%
4°C
$378 Vol.
2%
5°C
$234 Vol.
4%
6°C
$45 Vol.
3%
7°C
$52 Vol.
9%
8°C
$101 Vol.
42%
9°C
$199 Vol.
37%
10°C
$143 Vol.
2%
11°C
$846 Vol.
2%
12°C o más
$889 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast model ensembles from the Met Office and ECMWF, projecting London's Heathrow minimum temperature on May 10 within a 7–12°C range amid changeable conditions from lingering low pressure and northerly winds over the past 48 hours. Recent developments, including yesterday's cooler-than-average readings and potential for partial clearing overnight, have elevated implied probabilities for 7°C and 8°C (both 21.5%) by favoring radiative cooling, while persistent cloud cover or urban heat island effects support 12°C or higher at 25.5%. Key differentiators include exact timing of any frontal clearing and wind speeds above 10 mph, which could prevent deeper cools; watch for 12Z model updates tomorrow for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 8, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$6,751Fecha de finalización
10 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 8, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast model ensembles from the Met Office and ECMWF, projecting London's Heathrow minimum temperature on May 10 within a 7–12°C range amid changeable conditions from lingering low pressure and northerly winds over the past 48 hours. Recent developments, including yesterday's cooler-than-average readings and potential for partial clearing overnight, have elevated implied probabilities for 7°C and 8°C (both 21.5%) by favoring radiative cooling, while persistent cloud cover or urban heat island effects support 12°C or higher at 25.5%. Key differentiators include exact timing of any frontal clearing and wind speeds above 10 mph, which could prevent deeper cools; watch for 12Z model updates tomorrow for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$6,751Fecha de finalización
10 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 8, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast model ensembles from the Met Office and ECMWF, projecting London's Heathrow minimum temperature on May 10 within a 7–12°C range amid changeable conditions from lingering low pressure and northerly winds over the past 48 hours. Recent developments, including yesterday's cooler-than-average readings and potential for partial clearing overnight, have elevated implied probabilities for 7°C and 8°C (both 21.5%) by favoring radiative cooling, while persistent cloud cover or urban heat island effects support 12°C or higher at 25.5%. Key differentiators include exact timing of any frontal clearing and wind speeds above 10 mph, which could prevent deeper cools; watch for 12Z model updates tomorrow for shifts ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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