Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, 2026, positioning President Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh to assume the role upon Senate confirmation, with a full vote likely during the week of May 11 after Sen. Tillis dropped opposition following the DOJ's closure of a probe into Powell. On April 29, during the Fed's final meeting under Powell—where interest rates held steady—he announced plans to remain on the Board of Governors through January 2028, citing "unprecedented" Trump administration legal scrutiny of Fed operations as a factor to protect institutional independence. This transition reflects standard four-year term limits and historical patterns of outgoing chairs yielding to nominees, though confirmation delays could briefly extend Powell's tenure as acting chair.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$31,603 Vol.
May 16
85%
15 de mayo
57%
May 31
98%
June 30
99%
$31,603 Vol.
May 16
85%
15 de mayo
57%
May 31
98%
June 30
99%
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, 2026, positioning President Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh to assume the role upon Senate confirmation, with a full vote likely during the week of May 11 after Sen. Tillis dropped opposition following the DOJ's closure of a probe into Powell. On April 29, during the Fed's final meeting under Powell—where interest rates held steady—he announced plans to remain on the Board of Governors through January 2028, citing "unprecedented" Trump administration legal scrutiny of Fed operations as a factor to protect institutional independence. This transition reflects standard four-year term limits and historical patterns of outgoing chairs yielding to nominees, though confirmation delays could briefly extend Powell's tenure as acting chair.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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