**No at 98.5% reflects trader consensus that federal charges against Jerome Powell by June 30 remain highly improbable.** The prior DOJ criminal investigation into Powell’s congressional testimony on Federal Reserve headquarters renovations—opened in January 2026—was formally dropped on April 24, 2026, with no charges filed and no active probe reported since. Powell completed his term as Chair in May 2026 and transitioned to a Board governor role without further legal action. Federal charging decisions involve grand jury review, evidence thresholds, and procedural steps that rarely conclude in days, particularly absent public signals of renewed scrutiny. With only sixteen days remaining, the compressed timeline reinforces expectations of no indictment. A sudden reversal would require unforeseen new evidence or prosecutorial reversal, developments that have not materialized in the months since the case closed.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$278,620 Vol.
$278,620 Vol.
Sí
$278,620 Vol.
$278,620 Vol.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 11, 2026, 8:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**No at 98.5% reflects trader consensus that federal charges against Jerome Powell by June 30 remain highly improbable.** The prior DOJ criminal investigation into Powell’s congressional testimony on Federal Reserve headquarters renovations—opened in January 2026—was formally dropped on April 24, 2026, with no charges filed and no active probe reported since. Powell completed his term as Chair in May 2026 and transitioned to a Board governor role without further legal action. Federal charging decisions involve grand jury review, evidence thresholds, and procedural steps that rarely conclude in days, particularly absent public signals of renewed scrutiny. With only sixteen days remaining, the compressed timeline reinforces expectations of no indictment. A sudden reversal would require unforeseen new evidence or prosecutorial reversal, developments that have not materialized in the months since the case closed.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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