The Senate Banking Committee's 11-7 party-line vote on April 29 to advance Kevin Warsh's nomination as Federal Reserve Chair has solidified trader consensus at 99.5% against withdrawal by May 15, reflecting cleared hurdles including Sen. Thom Tillis lifting his prior hold last week following resolution of Department of Justice concerns. With Jerome Powell's term expiring mid-May and Republicans holding a Senate majority, confirmation appears imminent absent major disruptions. Realistic scenarios that could still prompt withdrawal include unforeseen scandals surfacing in full Senate hearings, unexpected GOP defections, or a White House pivot to another candidate amid policy pressures like inflation or banking regulations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$195,817 Vol.
$195,817 Vol.
15 may 2026
Sí
$195,817 Vol.
$195,817 Vol.
15 may 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Senate Banking Committee's 11-7 party-line vote on April 29 to advance Kevin Warsh's nomination as Federal Reserve Chair has solidified trader consensus at 99.5% against withdrawal by May 15, reflecting cleared hurdles including Sen. Thom Tillis lifting his prior hold last week following resolution of Department of Justice concerns. With Jerome Powell's term expiring mid-May and Republicans holding a Senate majority, confirmation appears imminent absent major disruptions. Realistic scenarios that could still prompt withdrawal include unforeseen scandals surfacing in full Senate hearings, unexpected GOP defections, or a White House pivot to another candidate amid policy pressures like inflation or banking regulations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 5, 2026, 5:05 PM ET
Volumen
$195,817Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 5, 2026, 5:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Senate Banking Committee's 11-7 party-line vote on April 29 to advance Kevin Warsh's nomination as Federal Reserve Chair has solidified trader consensus at 99.5% against withdrawal by May 15, reflecting cleared hurdles including Sen. Thom Tillis lifting his prior hold last week following resolution of Department of Justice concerns. With Jerome Powell's term expiring mid-May and Republicans holding a Senate majority, confirmation appears imminent absent major disruptions. Realistic scenarios that could still prompt withdrawal include unforeseen scandals surfacing in full Senate hearings, unexpected GOP defections, or a White House pivot to another candidate amid policy pressures like inflation or banking regulations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$195,817Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 5, 2026, 5:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Senate Banking Committee's 11-7 party-line vote on April 29 to advance Kevin Warsh's nomination as Federal Reserve Chair has solidified trader consensus at 99.5% against withdrawal by May 15, reflecting cleared hurdles including Sen. Thom Tillis lifting his prior hold last week following resolution of Department of Justice concerns. With Jerome Powell's term expiring mid-May and Republicans holding a Senate majority, confirmation appears imminent absent major disruptions. Realistic scenarios that could still prompt withdrawal include unforeseen scandals surfacing in full Senate hearings, unexpected GOP defections, or a White House pivot to another candidate amid policy pressures like inflation or banking regulations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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