Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that President Trump will not attempt to remove Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve Chair before leaving office, driven by Powell's term expiring May 15, 2026, and Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as successor pending Senate confirmation. Despite Trump's April 15 threats to fire Powell if he remains a Fed governor post-term—amid disputes over interest rate policy—no formal removal action has materialized in the ensuing weeks, with the Justice Department dropping its probe into Powell last week. Legal precedents affirming "for cause" removal standards for Fed officials, upheld even by Trump-appointed judges, reinforce institutional barriers. Powell's April 29 announcement to stay on the Board as governor shifts focus away from the Chair role. Late escalations like emergency executive action or court challenges could theoretically shift odds, though procedural timelines make them improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$88,512 Vol.
$88,512 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$88,512 Vol.
$88,512 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that President Trump will not attempt to remove Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve Chair before leaving office, driven by Powell's term expiring May 15, 2026, and Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as successor pending Senate confirmation. Despite Trump's April 15 threats to fire Powell if he remains a Fed governor post-term—amid disputes over interest rate policy—no formal removal action has materialized in the ensuing weeks, with the Justice Department dropping its probe into Powell last week. Legal precedents affirming "for cause" removal standards for Fed officials, upheld even by Trump-appointed judges, reinforce institutional barriers. Powell's April 29 announcement to stay on the Board as governor shifts focus away from the Chair role. Late escalations like emergency executive action or court challenges could theoretically shift odds, though procedural timelines make them improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 10:43 AM ET
Volumen
$88,512Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 10:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that President Trump will not attempt to remove Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve Chair before leaving office, driven by Powell's term expiring May 15, 2026, and Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as successor pending Senate confirmation. Despite Trump's April 15 threats to fire Powell if he remains a Fed governor post-term—amid disputes over interest rate policy—no formal removal action has materialized in the ensuing weeks, with the Justice Department dropping its probe into Powell last week. Legal precedents affirming "for cause" removal standards for Fed officials, upheld even by Trump-appointed judges, reinforce institutional barriers. Powell's April 29 announcement to stay on the Board as governor shifts focus away from the Chair role. Late escalations like emergency executive action or court challenges could theoretically shift odds, though procedural timelines make them improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$88,512Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 10:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that President Trump will not attempt to remove Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve Chair before leaving office, driven by Powell's term expiring May 15, 2026, and Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as successor pending Senate confirmation. Despite Trump's April 15 threats to fire Powell if he remains a Fed governor post-term—amid disputes over interest rate policy—no formal removal action has materialized in the ensuing weeks, with the Justice Department dropping its probe into Powell last week. Legal precedents affirming "for cause" removal standards for Fed officials, upheld even by Trump-appointed judges, reinforce institutional barriers. Powell's April 29 announcement to stay on the Board as governor shifts focus away from the Chair role. Late escalations like emergency executive action or court challenges could theoretically shift odds, though procedural timelines make them improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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