President Trump's April 15 ultimatum to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell from the Fed Board of Governors if he remains after his chair term expires on May 15 has anchored trader sentiment in the Polymarket market, with implied odds at 20% for an attempt by December 31 amid low-volume positioning reflecting legal barriers. A 2025 Supreme Court ruling affirmed presidents lack unilateral authority to dismiss Fed governors for cause short of misconduct, tempering expectations despite Trump's public demands for lower interest rates and mentions of Kevin Warsh as a potential replacement. Powell's April 29 briefing reaffirmed his intent to stay on the board until 2028, citing ongoing legal challenges, underscoring Fed independence norms. Traders eye May 15 as a key threshold, with any formal removal action risking market volatility and congressional backlash.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Intentará Trump despedir a Powell como miembro de la Junta de la Fed para...?
¿Intentará Trump despedir a Powell como miembro de la Junta de la Fed para...?
$15,670 Vol.
31 dic 2026
June 30
14%
31 de diciembre
34%
$15,670 Vol.
June 30
$8,306 Vol.
14%
31 de diciembre
$7,365 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's April 15 ultimatum to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell from the Fed Board of Governors if he remains after his chair term expires on May 15 has anchored trader sentiment in the Polymarket market, with implied odds at 20% for an attempt by December 31 amid low-volume positioning reflecting legal barriers. A 2025 Supreme Court ruling affirmed presidents lack unilateral authority to dismiss Fed governors for cause short of misconduct, tempering expectations despite Trump's public demands for lower interest rates and mentions of Kevin Warsh as a potential replacement. Powell's April 29 briefing reaffirmed his intent to stay on the board until 2028, citing ongoing legal challenges, underscoring Fed independence norms. Traders eye May 15 as a key threshold, with any formal removal action risking market volatility and congressional backlash.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Volumen
$15,670Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's April 15 ultimatum to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell from the Fed Board of Governors if he remains after his chair term expires on May 15 has anchored trader sentiment in the Polymarket market, with implied odds at 20% for an attempt by December 31 amid low-volume positioning reflecting legal barriers. A 2025 Supreme Court ruling affirmed presidents lack unilateral authority to dismiss Fed governors for cause short of misconduct, tempering expectations despite Trump's public demands for lower interest rates and mentions of Kevin Warsh as a potential replacement. Powell's April 29 briefing reaffirmed his intent to stay on the board until 2028, citing ongoing legal challenges, underscoring Fed independence norms. Traders eye May 15 as a key threshold, with any formal removal action risking market volatility and congressional backlash.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$15,670Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's April 15 ultimatum to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell from the Fed Board of Governors if he remains after his chair term expires on May 15 has anchored trader sentiment in the Polymarket market, with implied odds at 20% for an attempt by December 31 amid low-volume positioning reflecting legal barriers. A 2025 Supreme Court ruling affirmed presidents lack unilateral authority to dismiss Fed governors for cause short of misconduct, tempering expectations despite Trump's public demands for lower interest rates and mentions of Kevin Warsh as a potential replacement. Powell's April 29 briefing reaffirmed his intent to stay on the board until 2028, citing ongoing legal challenges, underscoring Fed independence norms. Traders eye May 15 as a key threshold, with any formal removal action risking market volatility and congressional backlash.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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