Trump's efforts to exert greater influence over monetary policy, including pressure for lower interest rates to support fiscal expansion and debt servicing, remain the central driver of trader sentiment around potential attempts to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell's chair term ended May 15, 2026, with Kevin Warsh confirmed as successor, but his governor term runs through January 2028; repeated threats in April 2026 and prior DOJ scrutiny of Fed renovations underscore ongoing tensions. Legal constraints on at-will removal, market sensitivity in Treasury yields and risk assets, and precedents from other governor challenges create uncertainty, with traders monitoring any new regulatory or congressional actions that could test Fed independence.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Intentará Trump despedir a Powell como miembro de la Junta de la Fed para...?
$16,467 Vol.
June 30
4%
31 de diciembre
22%
$16,467 Vol.
June 30
4%
31 de diciembre
22%
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's efforts to exert greater influence over monetary policy, including pressure for lower interest rates to support fiscal expansion and debt servicing, remain the central driver of trader sentiment around potential attempts to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell's chair term ended May 15, 2026, with Kevin Warsh confirmed as successor, but his governor term runs through January 2028; repeated threats in April 2026 and prior DOJ scrutiny of Fed renovations underscore ongoing tensions. Legal constraints on at-will removal, market sensitivity in Treasury yields and risk assets, and precedents from other governor challenges create uncertainty, with traders monitoring any new regulatory or congressional actions that could test Fed independence.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes