Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's term expires May 15, driving trader consensus to 91.5% odds for his departure in the May 15–22 window, as confirmed in his April 29 press conference following the FOMC meeting where he explicitly stated he will step aside as chair at term end while remaining a Board of Governors member through at least part of his 2028 expiration. President Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh advanced through the Senate Banking Committee on a party-line vote, signaling a smooth transition absent delays in full Senate confirmation. Challenges to this timeline would require extraordinary developments like a for-cause removal under the Federal Reserve Act—unlikely given closed DOJ probes—or unforeseen resignation, health events, or legal hurdles, preserving the market's strong positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWhen will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 15–22 93%
Before May 15 4.8%
May 23–29 1.5%
After July 3 1.0%
$76,209 Vol.
$76,209 Vol.
3 jul 2026
Before May 15
5%
May 15–22
93%
May 23–29
2%
May 30–June 5
<1%
June 6–12
<1%
June 13–19
<1%
June 20–26
<1%
June 27–July 3
<1%
After July 3
1%
May 15–22 93%
Before May 15 4.8%
May 23–29 1.5%
After July 3 1.0%
$76,209 Vol.
$76,209 Vol.
3 jul 2026
Before May 15
$9,210 Vol.
5%
May 15–22
$29,349 Vol.
93%
May 23–29
$4,750 Vol.
2%
May 30–June 5
$3,499 Vol.
<1%
June 6–12
$5,347 Vol.
<1%
June 13–19
$4,472 Vol.
<1%
June 20–26
$9,367 Vol.
<1%
June 27–July 3
$2,352 Vol.
<1%
After July 3
$8,018 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's term expires May 15, driving trader consensus to 91.5% odds for his departure in the May 15–22 window, as confirmed in his April 29 press conference following the FOMC meeting where he explicitly stated he will step aside as chair at term end while remaining a Board of Governors member through at least part of his 2028 expiration. President Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh advanced through the Senate Banking Committee on a party-line vote, signaling a smooth transition absent delays in full Senate confirmation. Challenges to this timeline would require extraordinary developments like a for-cause removal under the Federal Reserve Act—unlikely given closed DOJ probes—or unforeseen resignation, health events, or legal hurdles, preserving the market's strong positioning.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Volumen
$76,209Fecha de finalización
3 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's term expires May 15, driving trader consensus to 91.5% odds for his departure in the May 15–22 window, as confirmed in his April 29 press conference following the FOMC meeting where he explicitly stated he will step aside as chair at term end while remaining a Board of Governors member through at least part of his 2028 expiration. President Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh advanced through the Senate Banking Committee on a party-line vote, signaling a smooth transition absent delays in full Senate confirmation. Challenges to this timeline would require extraordinary developments like a for-cause removal under the Federal Reserve Act—unlikely given closed DOJ probes—or unforeseen resignation, health events, or legal hurdles, preserving the market's strong positioning.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$76,209Fecha de finalización
3 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's term expires May 15, driving trader consensus to 91.5% odds for his departure in the May 15–22 window, as confirmed in his April 29 press conference following the FOMC meeting where he explicitly stated he will step aside as chair at term end while remaining a Board of Governors member through at least part of his 2028 expiration. President Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh advanced through the Senate Banking Committee on a party-line vote, signaling a smooth transition absent delays in full Senate confirmation. Challenges to this timeline would require extraordinary developments like a for-cause removal under the Federal Reserve Act—unlikely given closed DOJ probes—or unforeseen resignation, health events, or legal hurdles, preserving the market's strong positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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