**Strong economic resilience and the Federal Reserve’s data-dependent stance underpin the 92% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027.** As of mid-June 2026, the target federal funds rate remains at 3.50–3.75%, with the FOMC holding steady through recent meetings amid solid GDP growth, a resilient labor market (unemployment near 4.3%), and persistent inflation pressures from energy prices and tariffs. Analysts at Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan, along with economist surveys, see policy remaining unchanged through year-end 2026, with easing unlikely until 2027. Emergency cuts have historically required acute crises, conditions absent from current indicators. That said, a sharp escalation in geopolitical tensions, sudden financial-market stress, or rapid labor-market deterioration could still prompt an unscheduled move.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$105,631 Vol.
$105,631 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$105,631 Vol.
$105,631 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.**Strong economic resilience and the Federal Reserve’s data-dependent stance underpin the 92% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027.** As of mid-June 2026, the target federal funds rate remains at 3.50–3.75%, with the FOMC holding steady through recent meetings amid solid GDP growth, a resilient labor market (unemployment near 4.3%), and persistent inflation pressures from energy prices and tariffs. Analysts at Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan, along with economist surveys, see policy remaining unchanged through year-end 2026, with easing unlikely until 2027. Emergency cuts have historically required acute crises, conditions absent from current indicators. That said, a sharp escalation in geopolitical tensions, sudden financial-market stress, or rapid labor-market deterioration could still prompt an unscheduled move.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Volumen
$105,631Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.**Strong economic resilience and the Federal Reserve’s data-dependent stance underpin the 92% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027.** As of mid-June 2026, the target federal funds rate remains at 3.50–3.75%, with the FOMC holding steady through recent meetings amid solid GDP growth, a resilient labor market (unemployment near 4.3%), and persistent inflation pressures from energy prices and tariffs. Analysts at Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan, along with economist surveys, see policy remaining unchanged through year-end 2026, with easing unlikely until 2027. Emergency cuts have historically required acute crises, conditions absent from current indicators. That said, a sharp escalation in geopolitical tensions, sudden financial-market stress, or rapid labor-market deterioration could still prompt an unscheduled move.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Volumen
$105,631Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Strong economic resilience and the Federal Reserve’s data-dependent stance underpin the 92% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027.** As of mid-June 2026, the target federal funds rate remains at 3.50–3.75%, with the FOMC holding steady through recent meetings amid solid GDP growth, a resilient labor market (unemployment near 4.3%), and persistent inflation pressures from energy prices and tariffs. Analysts at Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan, along with economist surveys, see policy remaining unchanged through year-end 2026, with easing unlikely until 2027. Emergency cuts have historically required acute crises, conditions absent from current indicators. That said, a sharp escalation in geopolitical tensions, sudden financial-market stress, or rapid labor-market deterioration could still prompt an unscheduled move.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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