Polymarket traders price a 90.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting strong consensus on economic resilience absent crisis-level stress. The April 28-29 FOMC meeting held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% for a third straight session, with Chair Powell citing stable inflation trajectory and robust labor markets—March nonfarm payrolls rose 178,000 amid unemployment near 4%. Geopolitical inflation risks have delayed even scheduled cuts to late 2026. This skin-in-the-game sentiment echoes historical precedents where emergency actions (e.g., 2008, 2020) required acute financial turmoil. Realistic challenges include a sharp recession signal from upcoming May payrolls or CPI, banking strains, or equity plunge below key S&P 500 thresholds ahead of the June 16-17 FOMC.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$102,882 Vol.
$102,882 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$102,882 Vol.
$102,882 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Polymarket traders price a 90.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting strong consensus on economic resilience absent crisis-level stress. The April 28-29 FOMC meeting held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% for a third straight session, with Chair Powell citing stable inflation trajectory and robust labor markets—March nonfarm payrolls rose 178,000 amid unemployment near 4%. Geopolitical inflation risks have delayed even scheduled cuts to late 2026. This skin-in-the-game sentiment echoes historical precedents where emergency actions (e.g., 2008, 2020) required acute financial turmoil. Realistic challenges include a sharp recession signal from upcoming May payrolls or CPI, banking strains, or equity plunge below key S&P 500 thresholds ahead of the June 16-17 FOMC.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Volumen
$102,882Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Polymarket traders price a 90.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting strong consensus on economic resilience absent crisis-level stress. The April 28-29 FOMC meeting held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% for a third straight session, with Chair Powell citing stable inflation trajectory and robust labor markets—March nonfarm payrolls rose 178,000 amid unemployment near 4%. Geopolitical inflation risks have delayed even scheduled cuts to late 2026. This skin-in-the-game sentiment echoes historical precedents where emergency actions (e.g., 2008, 2020) required acute financial turmoil. Realistic challenges include a sharp recession signal from upcoming May payrolls or CPI, banking strains, or equity plunge below key S&P 500 thresholds ahead of the June 16-17 FOMC.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Volumen
$102,882Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price a 90.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting strong consensus on economic resilience absent crisis-level stress. The April 28-29 FOMC meeting held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% for a third straight session, with Chair Powell citing stable inflation trajectory and robust labor markets—March nonfarm payrolls rose 178,000 amid unemployment near 4%. Geopolitical inflation risks have delayed even scheduled cuts to late 2026. This skin-in-the-game sentiment echoes historical precedents where emergency actions (e.g., 2008, 2020) required acute financial turmoil. Realistic challenges include a sharp recession signal from upcoming May payrolls or CPI, banking strains, or equity plunge below key S&P 500 thresholds ahead of the June 16-17 FOMC.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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