The Senate Banking Committee advanced President Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh for Federal Reserve Chair on a 13-11 party-line vote April 29, overcoming Democratic opposition led by Sen. Elizabeth Warren, who criticized his Fed independence, and clearing a GOP hold after the DOJ ended its probe into Jerome Powell. With Powell's term expiring May 15, Majority Leader John Thune filed cloture to fast-track a full Senate floor vote, likely post-May 4-8 recess around May 11-12. Trader sentiment hinges on individual senators' records, with Republicans near-unanimous in committee and speculation on Democratic crossovers like Sen. John Fetterman; historical patterns favor confirmation in a GOP-led Senate absent major scandals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$96,047 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Thom Tillis
96%
Elizabeth Warren
2%
Bernie Sanders
18%
Chuck Schumer
47%
Lisa Murkowski
63%
Kevin Cramer
97%
John Kennedy
93%
$96,047 Vol.
Thom Tillis
$48,025 Vol.
96%
Elizabeth Warren
$35,334 Vol.
2%
Bernie Sanders
$6,683 Vol.
18%
Chuck Schumer
$635 Vol.
47%
Lisa Murkowski
$132 Vol.
63%
Kevin Cramer
$2,288 Vol.
97%
John Kennedy
$2,949 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.The Senate Banking Committee advanced President Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh for Federal Reserve Chair on a 13-11 party-line vote April 29, overcoming Democratic opposition led by Sen. Elizabeth Warren, who criticized his Fed independence, and clearing a GOP hold after the DOJ ended its probe into Jerome Powell. With Powell's term expiring May 15, Majority Leader John Thune filed cloture to fast-track a full Senate floor vote, likely post-May 4-8 recess around May 11-12. Trader sentiment hinges on individual senators' records, with Republicans near-unanimous in committee and speculation on Democratic crossovers like Sen. John Fetterman; historical patterns favor confirmation in a GOP-led Senate absent major scandals.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 30, 2026, 4:22 PM ET
Volumen
$96,047Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 4:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.The Senate Banking Committee advanced President Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh for Federal Reserve Chair on a 13-11 party-line vote April 29, overcoming Democratic opposition led by Sen. Elizabeth Warren, who criticized his Fed independence, and clearing a GOP hold after the DOJ ended its probe into Jerome Powell. With Powell's term expiring May 15, Majority Leader John Thune filed cloture to fast-track a full Senate floor vote, likely post-May 4-8 recess around May 11-12. Trader sentiment hinges on individual senators' records, with Republicans near-unanimous in committee and speculation on Democratic crossovers like Sen. John Fetterman; historical patterns favor confirmation in a GOP-led Senate absent major scandals.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$96,047Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 4:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Senate Banking Committee advanced President Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh for Federal Reserve Chair on a 13-11 party-line vote April 29, overcoming Democratic opposition led by Sen. Elizabeth Warren, who criticized his Fed independence, and clearing a GOP hold after the DOJ ended its probe into Jerome Powell. With Powell's term expiring May 15, Majority Leader John Thune filed cloture to fast-track a full Senate floor vote, likely post-May 4-8 recess around May 11-12. Trader sentiment hinges on individual senators' records, with Republicans near-unanimous in committee and speculation on Democratic crossovers like Sen. John Fetterman; historical patterns favor confirmation in a GOP-led Senate absent major scandals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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