Iran's April 30 deadline to publicly agree to end all uranium enrichment passed without any such announcement, driving trader consensus to 100% "No" as US-Iran nuclear negotiations stalled amid mutual rejections. Recent IAEA reports confirm Iran's continued production of near-weapons-grade uranium at 60% purity, with stockpiles exceeding 11 tons—enough for multiple bombs—despite US proposals for a 20-year moratorium and material transfers, which Tehran dismissed while insisting on its enrichment rights. Ongoing sanctions, diplomatic deadlock, and no verified suspension underscore the impasse, though late-breaking official statements or unverifiable claims could prompt resolution scrutiny. Traders see negligible paths to retroactive "Yes," prioritizing skin-in-the-game assessment of failed talks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Irán acuerda poner fin al enriquecimiento de uranio antes del 30 de abril?
¿Irán acuerda poner fin al enriquecimiento de uranio antes del 30 de abril?
Sí
$1,852,007 Vol.
$1,852,007 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Sí
$1,852,007 Vol.
$1,852,007 Vol.
30 abr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran's April 30 deadline to publicly agree to end all uranium enrichment passed without any such announcement, driving trader consensus to 100% "No" as US-Iran nuclear negotiations stalled amid mutual rejections. Recent IAEA reports confirm Iran's continued production of near-weapons-grade uranium at 60% purity, with stockpiles exceeding 11 tons—enough for multiple bombs—despite US proposals for a 20-year moratorium and material transfers, which Tehran dismissed while insisting on its enrichment rights. Ongoing sanctions, diplomatic deadlock, and no verified suspension underscore the impasse, though late-breaking official statements or unverifiable claims could prompt resolution scrutiny. Traders see negligible paths to retroactive "Yes," prioritizing skin-in-the-game assessment of failed talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 6, 2026, 1:26 PM ET
Volumen
$1,852,007Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 6, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran's April 30 deadline to publicly agree to end all uranium enrichment passed without any such announcement, driving trader consensus to 100% "No" as US-Iran nuclear negotiations stalled amid mutual rejections. Recent IAEA reports confirm Iran's continued production of near-weapons-grade uranium at 60% purity, with stockpiles exceeding 11 tons—enough for multiple bombs—despite US proposals for a 20-year moratorium and material transfers, which Tehran dismissed while insisting on its enrichment rights. Ongoing sanctions, diplomatic deadlock, and no verified suspension underscore the impasse, though late-breaking official statements or unverifiable claims could prompt resolution scrutiny. Traders see negligible paths to retroactive "Yes," prioritizing skin-in-the-game assessment of failed talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,852,007Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 6, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Iran's April 30 deadline to publicly agree to end all uranium enrichment passed without any such announcement, driving trader consensus to 100% "No" as US-Iran nuclear negotiations stalled amid mutual rejections. Recent IAEA reports confirm Iran's continued production of near-weapons-grade uranium at 60% purity, with stockpiles exceeding 11 tons—enough for multiple bombs—despite US proposals for a 20-year moratorium and material transfers, which Tehran dismissed while insisting on its enrichment rights. Ongoing sanctions, diplomatic deadlock, and no verified suspension underscore the impasse, though late-breaking official statements or unverifiable claims could prompt resolution scrutiny. Traders see negligible paths to retroactive "Yes," prioritizing skin-in-the-game assessment of failed talks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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