Pakistan leads trader consensus at 63% as the preferred venue for the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting, driven by Islamabad's established role as a neutral mediator in recent indirect negotiations amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict over the Strait of Hormuz. In the past week, the White House confirmed US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner would travel to Pakistan for talks, while Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi visited Islamabad, prompting Iran to thank Pakistan for facilitation despite denying direct US engagement. Prior rounds in April at the Serena Hotel yielded no agreement after marathon sessions, sustaining 33.4% odds on no meeting by June 30 due to deep mistrust and stalled ceasefires. Upcoming sessions could shift dynamics, with historical patterns favoring third-party hosts like Pakistan over traditional sites such as Oman or Switzerland.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Dónde tendrá lugar la próxima reunión diplomática entre Estados Unidos e Irán?
¿Dónde tendrá lugar la próxima reunión diplomática entre Estados Unidos e Irán?
Pakistán 62.7%
Sin reunión antes del 30 de junio 33.6%
Suiza 1.2%
Omán 1.0%
$3,002,354 Vol.
$3,002,354 Vol.
Pakistán
63%
Sin reunión antes del 30 de junio
34%
Suiza
1%
Omán
1%
Rusia
1%
Turquía
1%
Egipto
<1%
Catar
<1%
Otro
<1%
Otro - Oriente Medio/Norte de África
<1%
Otro - Europa
<1%
Arabia Saudita
<1%
Austria
<1%
Emiratos Árabes Unidos
<1%
Irán
<1%
Estados Unidos
<1%
Irak
<1%
Kazajistán
<1%
Italia
<1%
Pakistán 62.7%
Sin reunión antes del 30 de junio 33.6%
Suiza 1.2%
Omán 1.0%
$3,002,354 Vol.
$3,002,354 Vol.
Pakistán
63%
Sin reunión antes del 30 de junio
34%
Suiza
1%
Omán
1%
Rusia
1%
Turquía
1%
Egipto
<1%
Catar
<1%
Otro
<1%
Otro - Oriente Medio/Norte de África
<1%
Otro - Europa
<1%
Arabia Saudita
<1%
Austria
<1%
Emiratos Árabes Unidos
<1%
Irán
<1%
Estados Unidos
<1%
Irak
<1%
Kazajistán
<1%
Italia
<1%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Apr 12, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Pakistan leads trader consensus at 63% as the preferred venue for the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting, driven by Islamabad's established role as a neutral mediator in recent indirect negotiations amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict over the Strait of Hormuz. In the past week, the White House confirmed US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner would travel to Pakistan for talks, while Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi visited Islamabad, prompting Iran to thank Pakistan for facilitation despite denying direct US engagement. Prior rounds in April at the Serena Hotel yielded no agreement after marathon sessions, sustaining 33.4% odds on no meeting by June 30 due to deep mistrust and stalled ceasefires. Upcoming sessions could shift dynamics, with historical patterns favoring third-party hosts like Pakistan over traditional sites such as Oman or Switzerland.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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