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Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?

icon for Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?

Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?

11% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
11% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump visit to North Korea by June 30 at 89%, reflecting the absence of any official White House announcements or scheduled diplomacy indicating such a trip amid North Korea's ongoing nuclear advancements and arms supplies to Russia. Recent speculation, including a former Trump NSC official's April prediction of a potential autumn summit—possibly during the president's mid-May Beijing visit—centers on neutral venues like the Korean DMZ or third-country sites rather than Pyongyang, echoing the 2019 Hanoi breakdown over denuclearization demands. Logistical barriers for a U.S. president entering North Korean territory, combined with Kim Jong Un's hardened posture, sustain low odds of change barring an abrupt invitation or escalation signal before the deadline.

If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$32
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump visit to North Korea by June 30 at 89%, reflecting the absence of any official White House announcements or scheduled diplomacy indicating such a trip amid North Korea's ongoing nuclear advancements and arms supplies to Russia. Recent speculation, including a former Trump NSC official's April prediction of a potential autumn summit—possibly during the president's mid-May Beijing visit—centers on neutral venues like the Korean DMZ or third-country sites rather than Pyongyang, echoing the 2019 Hanoi breakdown over denuclearization demands. Logistical barriers for a U.S. president entering North Korean territory, combined with Kim Jong Un's hardened posture, sustain low odds of change barring an abrupt invitation or escalation signal before the deadline.

If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$32
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 11% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 11¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 11% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 30, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?" es 11% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 11% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.