Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight cluster around 26–31°C for Guangzhou's May 10 highest temperature at Baiyun International Airport, reflecting divergent short-range forecasts from models like CustomWeather (29°C high under overcast skies) and WeatherBug (27°C mostly cloudy). Persistent cloud cover over the past week—yielding recent highs near 26–27°C on May 6–8—has suppressed solar insolation amid high humidity and light winds typical of the subtropical monsoon onset, differentiating lower outcomes from potential clearing that could push toward 30°C+. Key variables include cloud thickness and any convective showers; watch China Meteorological Administration updates and ECMWF/GFS runs through May 9 for shifts ahead of resolution. Historical May averages hover near 29°C, underscoring the razor-thin scientific uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 10?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 10?
28°C 33%
27°C 28%
29°C 24%
26°C 12.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 may 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
13%
27°C
28%
28°C
33%
29°C
24%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 33%
27°C 28%
29°C 24%
26°C 12.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 may 2026
23°C or below
$2,322 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,060 Vol.
1%
25°C
$697 Vol.
3%
26°C
$195 Vol.
13%
27°C
$268 Vol.
28%
28°C
$60 Vol.
33%
29°C
$392 Vol.
24%
30°C
$780 Vol.
4%
31°C
$147 Vol.
1%
32°C
$180 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$499 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight cluster around 26–31°C for Guangzhou's May 10 highest temperature at Baiyun International Airport, reflecting divergent short-range forecasts from models like CustomWeather (29°C high under overcast skies) and WeatherBug (27°C mostly cloudy). Persistent cloud cover over the past week—yielding recent highs near 26–27°C on May 6–8—has suppressed solar insolation amid high humidity and light winds typical of the subtropical monsoon onset, differentiating lower outcomes from potential clearing that could push toward 30°C+. Key variables include cloud thickness and any convective showers; watch China Meteorological Administration updates and ECMWF/GFS runs through May 9 for shifts ahead of resolution. Historical May averages hover near 29°C, underscoring the razor-thin scientific uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 8, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Volumen
$6,425Fecha de finalización
10 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 8, 2026, 12:27 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight cluster around 26–31°C for Guangzhou's May 10 highest temperature at Baiyun International Airport, reflecting divergent short-range forecasts from models like CustomWeather (29°C high under overcast skies) and WeatherBug (27°C mostly cloudy). Persistent cloud cover over the past week—yielding recent highs near 26–27°C on May 6–8—has suppressed solar insolation amid high humidity and light winds typical of the subtropical monsoon onset, differentiating lower outcomes from potential clearing that could push toward 30°C+. Key variables include cloud thickness and any convective showers; watch China Meteorological Administration updates and ECMWF/GFS runs through May 9 for shifts ahead of resolution. Historical May averages hover near 29°C, underscoring the razor-thin scientific uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$6,425Fecha de finalización
10 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 8, 2026, 12:27 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight cluster around 26–31°C for Guangzhou's May 10 highest temperature at Baiyun International Airport, reflecting divergent short-range forecasts from models like CustomWeather (29°C high under overcast skies) and WeatherBug (27°C mostly cloudy). Persistent cloud cover over the past week—yielding recent highs near 26–27°C on May 6–8—has suppressed solar insolation amid high humidity and light winds typical of the subtropical monsoon onset, differentiating lower outcomes from potential clearing that could push toward 30°C+. Key variables include cloud thickness and any convective showers; watch China Meteorological Administration updates and ECMWF/GFS runs through May 9 for shifts ahead of resolution. Historical May averages hover near 29°C, underscoring the razor-thin scientific uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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