Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green's declaration for re-election, bolstered by his 56% approval rating and praised handling of the 2023 Maui wildfires, anchors trader consensus at 84.5% for a Democratic winner in the November 3 general election. Hawaii's entrenched Democratic dominance—Republicans last won in 2006—combined with no high-profile Republican challengers declared ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 8 primaries, sustains the lopsided odds, as echoed in Safe/Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Recent legislative momentum, like a Democratic state representative's April party switch to Republican, has not dented the gubernatorial market, with focus shifting to Lt. Governor primary contests including Kauai Mayor Derek Kawakami's challenge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de gobernador de Hawái
Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Hawái
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
87%
Republicano
7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$2,587 Vol.
87%
Republicano
$2,832 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green's declaration for re-election, bolstered by his 56% approval rating and praised handling of the 2023 Maui wildfires, anchors trader consensus at 84.5% for a Democratic winner in the November 3 general election. Hawaii's entrenched Democratic dominance—Republicans last won in 2006—combined with no high-profile Republican challengers declared ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 8 primaries, sustains the lopsided odds, as echoed in Safe/Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Recent legislative momentum, like a Democratic state representative's April party switch to Republican, has not dented the gubernatorial market, with focus shifting to Lt. Governor primary contests including Kauai Mayor Derek Kawakami's challenge.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volumen
$5,418Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green's declaration for re-election, bolstered by his 56% approval rating and praised handling of the 2023 Maui wildfires, anchors trader consensus at 84.5% for a Democratic winner in the November 3 general election. Hawaii's entrenched Democratic dominance—Republicans last won in 2006—combined with no high-profile Republican challengers declared ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 8 primaries, sustains the lopsided odds, as echoed in Safe/Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Recent legislative momentum, like a Democratic state representative's April party switch to Republican, has not dented the gubernatorial market, with focus shifting to Lt. Governor primary contests including Kauai Mayor Derek Kawakami's challenge.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$5,418Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green's declaration for re-election, bolstered by his 56% approval rating and praised handling of the 2023 Maui wildfires, anchors trader consensus at 84.5% for a Democratic winner in the November 3 general election. Hawaii's entrenched Democratic dominance—Republicans last won in 2006—combined with no high-profile Republican challengers declared ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 8 primaries, sustains the lopsided odds, as echoed in Safe/Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Recent legislative momentum, like a Democratic state representative's April party switch to Republican, has not dented the gubernatorial market, with focus shifting to Lt. Governor primary contests including Kauai Mayor Derek Kawakami's challenge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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